Nationals vs. Padres: How Hot Can Wood Get? | June 25, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Wed Jun 25, 2025, 3:11 pm ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
mlb
Nationals vs. Padres: James Wood has been locked in at the plate, and this afternoon sets up well for another strong showing. He draws a favorable matchup against Nick Pivetta, who leans on a fastball-heavy arsenal that plays right into Wood's strengths. With elite trends and road success backing him, his hit prop stands out.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @ColbyMBets to get my full card every day! Picks are always FREE.
Last Month: 71-157 (-16.44u)
Last Week: 15-38 (-6.17u)
Nationals vs. Padres Best Bet – June 25
Can James Wood keep this hot streak alive in San Diego?
Check out BetOnline's New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new MLB players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Casino Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
Time to take a closer look at Washington Nationals star James Wood and his player props this afternoon. The one that jumped off the board was his hit prop, currently priced at -150. If you are not in the juice-paying business, I get it—but this is a spot worth the squeeze.
Over the past 15 days, Wood has been locked in—batting .322 with a .678 slugging percentage and a 1.098 OPS. He is coming off an 0-4 night after a strong showing on Monday and looks to bounce back this afternoon against Nick Pivetta.
So, why just the hit prop when his bases or hits, runs, and RBI props are plus money? Because hit prices vary daily, and knowing what value is for each player is key. I would play this up to -160, but not a cent higher.
James Wood Elite Trends
Wood owns an elite rating on Batters-Box today. In 65 elite-rated matchups, he has recorded a hit 67% of the time and cleared 1.5 HRR in 53% of them. On the road, where he has thrived this season, his trends are even better. In 33 elite-rated road games, he has recorded a hit 78% of the time, gone over 1.5 total bases 51% of the time, and over 1.5 HRR in 63% of them.
Today, he faces a pitcher who leans heavily on his four-seamer—Nick Pivetta throws it 45% of the time, followed by a slider at 20%. Wood is crushing fastballs this season, hitting .375 with a .738 SLG and .491 wOBA. He is the Nationals' best hitter against fastballs—and sliders. Against sliders, he is hitting .283 with a .500 SLG and .417 wOBA.
Pivetta has been tough at home, which is why I am staying disciplined and sticking with the hit prop, with only a sprinkle on the home run. Still, nearly 30% of his arsenal grades below league average this year, and Wood has been handling Pivetta's entire arsenal very well this season.
With a .290/.387/.548/.935 slash line on the road this season, the juice on Wood to record a hit is worth every drop.
Best Bet: James Wood 1+ Hit (-150) odds via BetOnline
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @ColbyMBets for all my picks and sports opinions. Follow Betting News on 'X' and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below among our best online sportsbooks and sign-up for a bonus!
Check Out All of Our Betting Resources at Betting News
- Picks & Odds for the NFL
- NFL Betting Guide for Beginners
- Pick & Odds for NCAAF
- NCAAF Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the MLB
- MLB Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NBA
- NBA Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NHL
- NHL Betting Guide for Beginners
More Betting Stories
Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
