Guardians vs. Mets: First Five Team Props | August 4, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Published: Mon Aug 04, 2025, 2:14 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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Guardians vs. Mets: The Mets are locked in at the plate and draw a juicy matchup against one of today's weakest-rated arms. With seven elite hitters in the lineup, they are set up perfectly against a pitcher who struggles against left-handed hitters. This is a premium spot for the offense to strike early.
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Last Month: 52-95 (-2.88u)
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Guardians vs. Mets Best Bets – August 4
Will the Mets be able to get after Slade Cecconi this evening?
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The Mets find themselves with the highest-rated offense in both default and current season ratings on Batters-Box. Their lineup features seven elite-rated hitters in the current season, with four batters above the league strikeout rate and two above the ground ball rate.
They face Guardians right-hander Slade Cecconi, who is allowing 48% hard contact this season. He holds the second-worst pitcher rating on the day, along with poor marks in wOBA, ISO, and strikeout percentage.
According to Hanidgraphs, over his last 60 plate appearances against left-handed hitters, Cecconi owns a .524 xERA, 46.7% hard-hit rate, and 1.8 HR/9. Lefties in that span have produced a .366 xBA, .602 xSLG, and .368 xwOBA. Why left-handed hitters? All seven elite-rated Mets hitters will be batting from the left side of the plate this evening.
At home this season, the Mets are the sixth-best team in wRC+. They are averaging 2.75 runs in the first five innings. Meanwhile, the Guardians are allowing 2.4 runs in the first five on the road.
Despite Cecconi's road numbers, this feels like a spot where the Mets' offense shows up in a big way. Seven elite-rated hitters are hard to ignore—especially when lefties are his clear weakness. Pay the $1.05 juice. It is worth it.
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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