Braves vs. Royals: Walk Prop Predictions | July 29, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Published: Tue Jul 29, 2025, 1:00 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
mlb
Braves vs. Royals: Erick Fedde has been handing out free passes with consistency, especially on the road. The Royals rarely walk, but recent trends offer hope. With plus money on the table, there is value in targeting Fedde's walk prop tonight.
For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our MLB Picks Page or our MLB Odds Page, here.
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @ColbyMBets to get my full card every day! Picks are always FREE.
Last Month: 39-108 (-23.2u)
Last Week: 10-32 (-9.2u)
Cold as ICE. FADE ME! Seriously.
Braves vs. Royals Best Bets – July 29
Can Bobby Witt help us get a walk this evening?
Check out BetOnline's New No Strings Welcome Offer that gives new MLB players up to $250 in Free Bets and 100 Free Casino Spins with their first deposit. Find out more about this Promotion as well as lots of other Free Sportsbook Promos right here!
First-time alert!
I have not touched a walk prop all season, but tonight I am diving in with this sweaty play.
Entering today's slate, one starting pitcher stands out for all the wrong reasons when it comes to command. Erick Fedde has struggled with walks more than any other starter on the slate over his last three outings, posting a 13% walk rate during that stretch. On the season, he has been a walking machine, averaging 2.35 walks per start and owning a 4.16 walks per nine rate.
The biggest issue with this look is that the Royals simply do not walk. They rank dead last in home walk rate. So why are we even looking at this? Over the last two weeks, Kansas City ranks 15th in walk rate and sits 28th in strikeout percentage at home. That tells me this lineup is at least putting the ball in play and potentially seeing enough pitches to work some walks.
Digging a little deeper, five Royals have posted walk rates above 13% over the last five games, per Handigraphs. Those bats are Vinnie Pasquantino, Jonathan India, John Rave, Kyle Isbel, and Maikel Garcia. Rave in particular leads the team with a walk rate of 23% over his last 30 plate appearances, more than 13% higher than the next closest hitter.
Fedde is allowing 2.5 walks per road start this season, and we are getting plus money for him to simply hit his average. I think it is worth a shot on the Royals staying disciplined at the plate tonight.
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @ColbyMBets for all my picks and sports opinions. Follow Betting News on 'X' and Twitch and catch us on stream! Betting News is also on TikTok! Follow us for more picks and news every day!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below among our best online sportsbooks and sign-up for a bonus!
Check Out All of Our Betting Resources at Betting News
- Picks & Odds for the NFL
- NFL Betting Guide for Beginners
- Pick & Odds for NCAAF
- NCAAF Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the MLB
- MLB Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NBA
- NBA Betting Guide for Beginners
- Picks & Odds in the NHL
- NHL Betting Guide for Beginners
More Betting Stories
Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
