BetOnline Arizona Primary Odds: Hobbs, Feely Favored
Written by: Jonathan Rodriguez
Published: Tue Jul 21, 2026, 12:00 pm ET
Read Time: 5 minutes
Misc.
Arizona voters head to the polls Tuesday as a pivotal primary election shapes several major 2026 contests. BetOnline has posted odds on the governor's race and key U.S. House primaries.
The sportsbook's markets show strong confidence in several candidates. In particular, three congressional primary favorites each carry -2000 odds.
The election also creates significant interest for the growing Arizona gambling market. BetOnline's political odds provide bettors with another way to follow a battleground state.
What Are the Arizona Primaries?
Arizona's primary election determines which candidates will represent each major party in November's general election. The state's primary system has played an important role in shaping competitive races for decades.
Arizona has become one of America's most closely watched political battlegrounds. Presidential elections, Senate contests, and congressional races regularly attract national attention.
The 2026 primary carries additional importance because control of the U.S. House remains highly competitive. Arizona's swing voters could therefore influence the balance of power in Washington.
The state's primary date also moved to July 21 in 2026. Previously, Arizona held its primary on the first Tuesday in August.
Several races stand out, including contests for governor and the open seat in Arizona's 1st Congressional District.
Governor Katie Hobbs (-700) Leads the Arizona Governor's Race | BetOnline
BetOnline's governor market focuses on the eventual general election winner. Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs is the clear favorite at -700, implying an 88% probability of victory.
Hobbs became governor after defeating Republican Kari Lake in the 2022 election. She previously served as Arizona's secretary of state and represented the state in the Senate.
Her incumbent status gives her a significant advantage heading into the general election. She also has statewide campaign experience after winning her first gubernatorial race.
Republican Representative Andy Biggs is listed as the underdog at +400. The odds imply roughly a 20% chance of winning the governor's market.
The market does not mean Biggs had already secured the Republican nomination. He faced a notable primary challenge from fellow Republican Representative David Schweikert.
Biggs is a longtime conservative congressman who represents Arizona's 5th Congressional District. He also remains one of the most prominent Republican figures in the state's congressional delegation.
Schweikert, meanwhile, is a veteran Republican representative who has represented Arizona in Congress for several terms. The primary contest therefore adds an important layer to the governor's race.
U.S. House District 1: Amish Shah (D) (-225); Jay Feely (R) (-2000) | BetOnline
Arizona's 1st Congressional District features competitive primaries for both parties. The seat became open after Republican Representative David Schweikert entered the governor's race.
On the Democratic side, former state Representative Amish Shah leads at -225. His odds imply a 69% probability of winning.
Shah is an emergency medicine physician who previously served in the Arizona Legislature. He also became the Democratic nominee for the district in 2024.
Marlene Galan-Woods follows at +160. She is a former television news anchor and a former Republican who later became a Democrat.
Jonathan Treble sits at +1600. The businessman has also invested heavily in the campaign and remains a long-shot contender.
The Republican primary looks far more one-sided. Former NFL kicker Jay Feely carries -2000 odds, implying a 95% chance of victory.
Feely became a prominent candidate after receiving former President Donald Trump's endorsement. His career with the Arizona Cardinals also gives him strong name recognition across the state.
Joseph Chaplik is the underdog at +700. The former state legislator retains support among parts of the Republican grassroots.
U.S. House District 5: Elizabeth Lee (D) (-2000); Mark Lamb (R) (-2000) | BetOnline
The Arizona-05 primaries feature two more overwhelming favorites. Both Democratic candidate Elizabeth Lee and Republican candidate Mark Lamb carry -2000 odds.
Lee therefore holds a roughly 95% implied chance of winning the Democratic primary. She is a nurse who entered the contest as one of the leading candidates.
Chris James trails at +700. He is a former Treasury official and nonprofit president seeking the Democratic nomination.
On the Republican side, former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb also carries -2000 odds. His price implies another 95% probability of victory.
Lamb previously ran for the U.S. Senate and built a strong profile around border security and conservative issues. Former President Trump has also endorsed his campaign.
Daniel Keenan is priced at +700. The construction business owner has positioned himself as an alternative to Lamb.
Overall, BetOnline's Arizona primary odds show a clear divide between competitive and heavily lopsided contests. Hobbs leads the general election market, while Feely, Lee, and Lamb all command identical -2000 prices.
The results could shape several important November races. They may also influence the broader battle for control of Congress in 2027.
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Jonathan Rodriguez
Jonathan is an avid basketball fan, and is often looking forward to the next upcoming NBA season when not checking players' stats during games. He also likes to keep his ears on the ground for the latest rumblings in the online casino industry.
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