Santa Anita Picks: Kentucky Derby Points Race Analysis (02/07/2026)
Written by: Chris Adams
Published: Sat Feb 07, 2026, 7:00 am ET
Read Time: 7 minutes
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The racing action from Santa Anita on Saturday features the Robert B. Lewis Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Santa Anita picks for the entire card!
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Santa Anita Full Card Analysis
Santa Anita Picks: Kentucky Derby Points Race Analysis (02/07/2026)
Santa Anita Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:30 PM PT; Maiden Special Weight $70k; 1 M Turf; Field of 7 runners.
- #3 FRENCH MOONLIGHT (8-5): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Favorable class relief in this spot.
- #4 SUNTORY TIME (2-1): Major Player. Smith puts this one in with a chance. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #2 TIS SUNRISE (9-2): Contender. Potential to kick home late. Herrera and Puype team up on this one.
- #7 MPERFECTION (12-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.
Selections: 3 – 4 – 2 – 7
The Plays
Win: #3 at 9-5
Exacta: 3 / 4,2
Santa Anita Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:03 PM PT; Claiming $18k; 5 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #3 NO MORE DING DONGS (3-2): Prime Win Player. Stamina to outlast the competition. Top connections on the circuit with Herrera and Treece.
- #2 MAGIC CONNECTION (3-1): Underneath. Should take a liking to the race shape. Can run with these.
- #6 MAKE IT A LARGE (8-1): Underneath. Barn has been sending out runners. Hard to argue with the recent races.
- #5 THREE GEORGES (7-2): Underneath. Could be griding down the competition late. Trainer's horses have been running.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 6 – 5
The Plays
Win: #3 at 3-2
Exacta: 3 / 2,6
Santa Anita Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:34 PM PT; Maiden Special Weight $70k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #4 FEISTY RED HEAD (2-1): Top pick. Solid breeding for this spot. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #6 PINEY WOODS (5-1): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Gonzalez and Mccarthy team up on this one.
- #1 GREYS OVER BAYS (15-1): Contender. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Previous success in similar race types.
- #5 BROOKLYN BLONDE (9-2): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out.
Selections: 4 – 6 – 1 – 5
The Plays
Win: #4 at 5-2
Exacta: 4 / 6,1
Pick 3 (races 3-5): #4,6 with #3,4 with #4
Santa Anita Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:04 PM PT; Maiden Special Weight $70k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #3 GALLOPING GHOST (7-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #4 TOMMY NORRIS (2-1): Major Player. Stamina to be in the mix late. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #5 PARNELLI JONES (9-2): Fringe Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
- #2 POSITIVE TIMES (8-1): Underneath. Competitive enough in recent efforts. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 4 – 5 – 2
The Plays
Win: #3 at 4-1
Exacta: 3 / 4,5
Santa Anita Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:35 PM PT; Thunder Road Stakes $100k; 1 M Turf; Field of 5 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #4 EL POTENTE (2-1): Best bet of the card. Fits well with this group. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #1 GAS ME UP (6-5): Major Player. Demuro puts this one in with a chance. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #3 WATSONVILLE (6-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
- #5 NAMARON (7-2): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 4 – 1 – 3 – 5
The Plays
Win: #4 at 2-1
Exacta: 4 / 1,3,5
Santa Anita Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:05 PM PT; D. Wayne Lukas Stakes $200k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #5 SPLENDORA (4-5): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Fits well with this group.
- #7 FORMULA ROSSA (5-2): Major Player. Running well of late. Good race flow for this runner.
- #6 NO BAD BEATS (20-1): Underneath. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
- #1 SIMPLY JOKING (6-1): Underneath. Recent races are solid. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 5 – 7 – 6 – 1
The Plays
Win: #5 at 4-5
Exacta: 5 / 7,6
Santa Anita Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:35 PM PT; Allowance Optional Claiming $70k; 1 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.
- #7 WARM SUN AND BREW (9-5): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Favorable class relief in this spot.
- #1 CULLEN J (4-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Speed figures match this group well.
- #8 FREEPORT JOE (6-1): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #2 SIR PERCIVAL (5-1): Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 7 – 1 – 8 – 2
The Plays
Win: #7 at 2-1
Exacta: 7 / 1,8,2
Santa Anita Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:05 PM PT; Robert B. Lewis Stakes $100k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #1 DESERT GATE (6-5): Top pick. Hernandez puts this one in with a chance. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #4 INTREPIDO (7-2): Major Player. Running well of late. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #3 CHEROKEE NATION (5-1): Major Player. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #2 PLUTARCH (4-1): Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Could be griding down the competition late.
Selections: 1 – 4 – 3 – 2
The Plays
Win: #1 at 6-5
Exacta Box: 1 / 4 / 3
Santa Anita Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:35 PM PT; Sweet Life Stakes $100k; About 6 1/2 F Downhill turf; Field of 12 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #3 YOURS SINCERELY (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Races competitive with the top contenders. Stamina to outlast the competition. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
- #2 LA VILLE LUMIERE (8-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Gonzalez and Mccarthy team up on this one.
- #8 UMBRALLE (10-1): Major Player. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #1 HYPERGAMY (10-1): Major Player. Trainer's horses have been running. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 8 – 1
The Plays
Win: #3 at 7-1
Exacta Box: 3 / 2 / 8
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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