World Golf Championship Betting Preview

Earl C

This week, the pro’s of the PGA and the Euro Tour will meet up just south of the Mexico border for the WGC-Mexico Championship. The tournament is played as one of four WGC events this year and will have a prize pool of $10,000,000! The winner of this tournament will be $1.8 million dollars richer.

This tournament has been around for many years, but only for the past 2 years in Mexico. Prior to being played here, the tournament was played in Miami, Florida but moved here in 2017.

The course that will host the WGC-Mexico Championship is the Club De Golf Chapultepec Golf Course in Mexico City, Mexico. The course was designed in the early 1920s but has had several redesigns since that time. The course now sits at nearly 7,330 yards as a Par 71 but don’t panic and run to all those long ball hitters as they will have some elevation on their side and that means that ball will fly further, longer and faster!

The course sits at 7,870 feet above sea level, and for many, this is a monster to deal with. When you listen to interviews from previous players from the past two years here at Club De Golf Chapultepec Golf Course, they all have something to say about the elevation and dealing with it. Even for those that are in tip-top shape, it will be trying on their lungs towards those later rounds of golf.

With that being said, I encourage you to mix up a combination of golfers that have some distance on them but more importantly are those that are accurate with those long drivers. These fairways can be tricky because they are surrounded by trees and the rough is Kikuyu, so it is of utmost importance to hit those fairways.

The greens are not really too fast, but the problem with them is the size. These greens are relatively small, and that can be an issue for those that are used to running the ball up to the hole. The approach shots will be very important this week, and those that can’t hit the ball soft enough onto the green will need some decent scrambling numbers.

Because there are only 72 golfers in this tournament, all golfers will play the entire 4 days. That means that their will be no cut for this event. That is very important for those that are playing Daily Fantasy Sports this week.

2019 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds

Justin Thomas +900
Dustin Johnson +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Bryson DeChambeau +1600
Jon Rahm +1600
Rickie Fowler +1600
Brooks Koepka +1800
Tiger Woods +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Jordan Spieth +2800
Phil Mickelson +2800
Bubba Watson +3300
Gary Woodland +3300
Marc Leishman +3300
Patrick Cantlay +3300
Paul Casey +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Webb Simpson +3300
Sergio Garcia +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Francesco Molinari +4500
Patrick Reed +4500
Si-Woo Kim +4500
Matt Kuchar +5000
Rafael Cabrera Bello +5000
Charles Howell III +5500
Hao-Tong Li +5500
Ian Poulter +5500
Cameron Smith +6600
Henrik Stenson +6600
Louis Oosthuizen +6600
Tyrrell Hatton +6600
Billy Horschel +7000
Shane Lowry +7000
Byeong Hun An +7500
Matt Wallace +7500
Brandt Snedeker +8000
Joost Luiten +8000
Lee Westwood +8000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +8000
Alexander Noren +9000
Branden Grace +9000
Emiliano Grillo +9000
Russell Knox +9000
Thorbjorn Olesen +9000
Chez Reavie +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Aaron Rai +12500
Abraham Ancer +12500
Danny Willett +12500
Kevin Na +12500
Lucas Bjerregaard +12500
Aaron Wise +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +15000
Patton Kizzire +15000
Richard Sterne +15000
Alexander Bjork +17500
Eddie Pepperell +17500
Kyle Stanley +20000
Shubhankar Sharma +20000
David Lipsky +25000
Shugo Imahira +25000
Erik Van Rooyen +30000
George Coetzee +35000
Jake Mcleod +35000
Matthew Millar +35000
Sanghyun Park +35000
Shaun Norris +35000

The Favorites

Rory McIlroy – Rory McIlroy has played here just one time, and that was back in 2017. In that tournament he finished in 7th place but one thing that was abundantly clear was the elevation didn’t affect him at all. Rory is in great shape physically and is coming into this tournament in great form, finishing in 4th place last week at the Genesis Open and a 5th place at the Farmers Insurance Open. His odds are only 11/1 but he should certainly compete for the win on Sunday.

Hideki Matsuyama – I really like Hideki’s chances to sneak in and steal a win here in Mexico. He has really strong numbers for Strokes Gained: Tee To Green, sitting second on tour. He played here back in 2017 and finished 25th, but we must remember that this was the year that Matsuyama had his injuries and just didn’t play well. He comes in with great form and will compete for a win at 28/1.

The Value Guys

Ian Poulter – I’m not sure if you should put Poulter here or with the longshots. He is currently 50/1, but I’ve seen him as high as 100/1, which is totally ridiculous! This guy is in great form right now coming in off a 6th place finish at the Saudi International, 3rd place finish at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic, and a 6th place finish at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. Unless the oddsmakers were drunk or just plain stupid, there is absolutely no reason these odds are this strong on him!

Shane Lowry – Lowry is the king of playing in bad weather, and that may be the case here this week. In each of the past two years, the weather has played a significant role here, and if that is the case this week, Lowry may actually benefit from it. This will be his first time playing here so enter with caution, but if the wind picks up like I expect it to, Lowry is the one to watch.

The Longshots

Lucas Bjerregaard -This will be Lucas Bjerragaard’s first time playing here in Mexico, but I don’t worry about that much. This guy has been one of the most consistent golfers on the Euro Tour, and he has the ability to jump out to an early lead and run away with this thing. He is 125/1, and as a longshot, he definitely can be a very sneaky play this week!

Alexander Bjork – Bjork has only played two tournaments this year but finished in 32nd place and then 20th place, getting better with each one. He is another golfer from the Euro Tour that will handle the elevation and conditions well, and at 175/1, he may be a gold mine waiting to be found this week!

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