Charlo vs. Castano 2 Fight Betting: Iron Man to blast El Boxi in rematch

Frank Monkhouse

Followers of the fight game can look forward to the rematch between Jermell Charlo and Brian Carlos Castano from Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, on Saturday.

With WBC, WBA, IBF, and WBO world titles on the line, the outcome of Saturday’s contest scheduled for 12 rounds will shape the future of the super welterweight division. Will Iron Man tighten his grip over the category, or will El Boxi win against all the odds, shocking the boxing world?

Charlo is the red-hot favourite to win this fight and return to his Texan base with all the championship belts in his possession. But, as any experienced follower of the noble art already knows, this sport of ours is unpredictable.

Jermell “Iron Man” Charlo vs. Brian “El Boxi” Castano Betting Odds and Fight Information

Fight Information

  • Jermell Charlo enters this bout with a professional record detailing 31 wins, one defeat and a draw.
  • Brian Carlos Castano travels from Argentina to the US, boasting an undefeated record consisting of 17 wins against a pair of draws.
  • This fight is a rematch after Charlo and Castano fought out a contentious split decision draw at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas last July.
  • Venue & Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, United States)
  • Start Time: The main card will begin at 9:00 p.m. Eastern Time (6:00 p.m. local time), with the Charlo-Castano bout likely to start around or after 11:00 p.m. ET (8:00 p.m. local time)
  • How to Watch Charlo vs. Castano 2: Showtime

Charlo vs. Castano Betting Odds (As of Saturday, May 14 at 4:45 p.m. ET)

Odds are from FanDuel. This article may also include odds from our other top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.


  • Charlo to win -220
  • Draw +1800
  • Castano to win +180

Charlo’s hoping it’s second time lucky

Jermell Charlo entered his first meeting with Castano as the favourite, with most boxing pundits picking him to win before a large and loyal crowd in Texas. That bout didn’t follow the script with the Argentine performing better than expected and almost grabbing the win.

The official result for Charlo v Castano I was a split decision draw, and to get a draw in your opponent’s backyard is a polite way of saying you were the better fighter; it just doesn’t often happen in the fight game. The scorecards at the end of the contest read 114-114, 117-111, 113-114.

One judge called the fight a draw, while another giving Charlo the victory by six rounds, and the final judge to hand it to Castano by a single round. Casual followers of boxing or those who didn’t see the fight may wonder how one gave it to Charlo by six rounds, and the other saw it to Castano by one round.

Last Five Fights for Jermell Charlo

  • Split decision draw
  • Won via knockout in the eighth round
  • Won via knockout in the 11th round
  • Won via knockout in the third round
  • Lost on points

Was it a robbery for the American, or did Castano do enough to deserve the victory, only to be undone by some unfair scoring with the draw? It’s safe to say the Charlo by six rounds call was miles off the mark, but the draw and one round was a fair reflection as it could have gone either way.

Sometimes in championship boxing bouts, the styles of both fighters are just too difficult to separate, and that was the case at the AT&T Center. Both men performed well, giving their all for the cause, and it would have been a shame for either gladiator to leave the ring that evening having lost.

Charlo now knows what to expect from his opponent, having shared a ring with him for 12 rounds, and it’s now on the Texan to prove he is a worthy champion.

Good fighters improve while great fighters adapt, and fans of Jermell will want to see evidence that he learned from that draw and is ready to right the wrongs in this rematch.

Castano has lost the element of surprise

Brian Castano boxed out of his skin in Texas to silence his critics and win thousands of new fans, but he has now lost the element of surprise. Everyone knows just how good he is and that the Argentine is more experienced than his record suggests.

He will come into this rematch with a CV showing 17 wins, no defeats and two draws, with a dozen of those victories coming by way of knockout. He’s ranked number one in his home country and number two in the world at super welterweight, although all that will change with victory over Charlo this weekend.

Last Five Fights for Brian Castano

  • Split decision draw
  • Won on points
  • Won via knockout in the fifth round
  • Split decision draw
  • Won via knockout in the 12th round

In addition to the draw with Charlo, we saw Castano end level with Erislandy Lara in Brooklyn back in 2019 when fighting for the WBA title. That was another fascinating contest but a tough one to take for El Boxi, who will look back at his career and think what may be if he had been given the nod in both bouts.

He doesn’t have the luxury of dwelling on those draws and must keep his eyes on the prize, doing what he can to improve and better the result with Charlo in their last meeting.

He brings a respected 12 KO wins into this bout, and we may see the challenger go on the front foot early, aiming to win by knockout and take the decision out of the hands of the judges.

Despite that 50% stoppage stat, Brian has beaten only one fighter inside the distance in his last four outings, with all but one of his last six going 12 rounds.

The spare in that run was a fifth-round technical knockout over Wale Omotoso at the MGM National in Oxon Hill back in 2019, so his team must tread carefully with any plans to target a fast start.

Head-to-Head Stats & Trends for Charlo vs. Castano 2

The last fight tested the judges, and it’s worth keeping that in mind when making our predictions for this rematch. We also note that Charlo has gone the distance in half of his last six bouts.

Having picked this fight to go to points, we now must decide on which man will win, and we’re giving the benefit of the doubt to the American. Charlo would have improved from the first meeting, and a points win is our best bet.

Jermell Charlo vs. Brian Castano Betting Tip – Charlo win @ -200 (Caesars Sportsbook)

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