New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Picks, Odds & Player Props

NFL - FINAL

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park

New England Patriots logo
FINAL
Buffalo Bills logo
New England Patriots
29
Buffalo Bills
26

Best Odds

Can the Patriots Win on the Road in Buffalo? NFL Expert Picks and Predictions (10/4)

Can the Patriots Win on the Road in Buffalo? NFL Expert Picks and Predictions (10/4) - BettingThePitch

Consensus Picks

Weather Forecast

Not applicable
New! The BN NFL Computer Picks analyzes each matchup using team performance ratings to project win probability, fair odds, score, spread and game totals.

BN Computer Picks

Projected Winner

Buffalo Billsto win
Confidence
More information
Model confidence indicates the strength of the NFL model's prediction.
80%(Strong edge)
New England Patriots logo

New England Patriots

43.6%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

+130

Moneyline Edge

★ +155

Predicted Score

23.7

Model Spread

+3

Buffalo Bills logo

Buffalo Bills

56.4%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

-130

Moneyline Edge

—

Predicted Score

26.9

Model Spread

-3

Team Ratings

NE (Away)vsBUF (Home)

Strong75.7

Pass Offense

Above Avg69.8
Average53.3

Pass Defense

Weak23.1
Average53.2

Rush Offense

Strong95.9
Below Avg38.6

Rush Defense

Above Avg56.2
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

NFL ratings compare each team's passing and rushing offense and defense. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

NE

NE

BUF

BUF

4 - 3(16th)

1 - 2

Wins

Away/Home

(2nd)6 - 1

3 - 1

4 - 2 - 1(13th)

1 - 1 - 1

ATS

Away/Home

(1st)6 - 1 - 0

3 - 1 - 0

4 - 3 - 0(11th)

1 - 2 - 0

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(1st)5 - 1 - 1

2 - 1 - 1

Offensive Stats

NE

NE

BUF

BUF
160
Points
252
16
Touchdowns
27
7.19
Yards per Play
8.29
1758
Passing Yards
1757
224
Pass Attempts
193
144
Pass Completions
132
12.21
Yards per Pass
13.31
11
Pass Touchdowns
10
859
Rushing Yards
1079
216
Rush Attempts
207
3.98
Yards per Rush
5.21
5
Rushing Touchdowns
17
7
Interceptions
4
17
Sacks
14

Defensive Stats

NE

NE

BUF

BUF
165
Points
189
15
Touchdowns
21
7.25
Yards per Play
6.79
1574
Passing Yards
1752
230
Pass Attempts
258
148
Pass Completions
173
10.64
Yards per Pass
10.13
8
Pass Touchdowns
16
677
Rushing Yards
686
164
Rush Attempts
185
4.13
Yards per Rush
3.71
7
Rushing Touchdowns
5
5
Interceptions
5
14
Sacks
16

Last 5 Games

NENE

Result

ATS

Total

vs LV

W17 - 45

W-3.5

45

@ BUF

W29 - 26

W+7.0

50

@ JAX

L6 - 35

L+3.0

46

vs PIT

W3 - 20

W-5.5

41

@ SEA

L10 - 13

P+3.0

44

BUFBUF

Result

ATS

Total

@ LAR

W37 - 34

W+1.5

-

vs NE

L29 - 26

L-7.0

50

vs LAC

W16 - 24

W-7.0

50

vs DET

W31 - 41

W-5.5

P72

@ HOU

W36 - 31

W-1.5

44

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