Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Picks, Odds & Player Props

MLB - FINAL

@ Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Philadelphia Phillies logo
FINAL
Kansas City Royals logo

Philadelphia Phillies
2

Kansas City Royals
5

Best Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Props July 5th, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Props July 5th, 2026 - TonesTakes

Consensus Picks

New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Prediction Engine breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Prediction Engine

FINAL

Projected Winner

Kansas City Royalsto win
Confidence50.72%(Coin flip)
Rating edgeSlight edge
Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

49.3%

BN Fair Odds

+103

Starting Pitcher

Aaron Nola

Kansas City Royals logo

Kansas City Royals

50.7%

BN Fair Odds

-103

Starting Pitcher

Luinder Avila

Team Ratings

PHI (Away)vsKC (Home)

Below Avg25

Pitcher

Weak16
Above Avg56

Bullpen

Average48
Weak24

Defense

Average52
Below Avg40

Offense

Below Avg36
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

PHI

PHI

KC

KC

50 - 40(6th)

25 - 19

Wins

Away/Home

(30th)34 - 54

19 - 26

35 - 55 - 0(29th)

16 - 28 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(28th)37 - 51 - 0

21 - 24 - 0

41 - 36 - 13(27th)

20 - 20 - 4

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(17th)44 - 34 - 10

24 - 16 - 5

Batting Stats

PHI

PHI

KC

KC
4.34
Runs / Game
4.24
0.760
Stolen Bases / Game
0.750
1.280
Home Runs / Game
1.000
0.235
Batting Average
0.246
0.699
On Base %
0.712
0.397
Slugging %
0.397
1.100
OBPS
1.110

Fielding Stats

PHI

PHI

KC

KC
0.49
Errors / Game
0.46
0.986
Fielding %
0.987

Pitching Stats

PHI

PHI

KC

KC
0.255
Batting Average Against
0.264
0.413
Slugging % Against
0.447
0.978
On Base % Against
0.985
0.285
Strike Out %
0.227
0.641
Strike %
0.625
0.359
Ball %
0.375

Last 5 Games

PHIPHI

Result

ATS

Total

@ KC

L2 - 5

L-1.5

9

@ KC

W6 - 1

W0

-

vs PIT

L6 - 1

L-1.5

10

vs PIT

W6 - 10

W-1.5

7

vs PIT

W0 - 8

W-1.5

P8

KCKC

Result

ATS

Total

vs PHI

W2 - 5

W+1.5

9

vs PHI

L6 - 1

L0

-

vs TB

L5 - 2

L+2.5

P7

vs TB

L4 - 0

L+1.5

10

vs TB

L10 - 4

L+1.5

10

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