Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Picks & Odds

MLB - FINAL

Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Philadelphia Phillies logo
FINAL
Kansas City Royals logo
Philadelphia Phillies
2
Kansas City Royals
5

Best Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Props July 5th, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Props July 5th, 2026 - TonesTakes

Consensus Picks

Weather Forecast

Not applicable
New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Computer Picks breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Computer Picks

FINAL

Projected Winner

Kansas City Royalsto win
Confidence51.54%(Coin flip)
Rating edgeSlight edge
Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

Starting Pitcher

Aaron Nola

48.5%

BN Fair Odds

+106

Moneyline Edge

—

Predicted Score

5

Spread Fair Odds

(+1.5)

-171

Spread Edge

—
Kansas City Royals logo

Kansas City Royals

Starting Pitcher

Luinder Avila

51.5%

BN Fair Odds

-106

Moneyline Edge

★ +28

Predicted Score

6

Spread Fair Odds

(-1.5)

+171

Spread Edge

—
Team Ratings

PHI (Away)vsKC (Home)

Weak25

Pitcher

Weak13
Average48

Bullpen

Average47
Below Avg36

Defense

Above Avg59
Below Avg38

Offense

Below Avg37
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

PHI

PHI

KC

KC

50 - 40(6th)

25 - 19

Wins

Away/Home

(30th)34 - 54

19 - 26

35 - 55 - 0(29th)

16 - 28 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(28th)37 - 51 - 0

21 - 24 - 0

41 - 36 - 13(27th)

20 - 20 - 4

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(17th)44 - 34 - 10

24 - 16 - 5

Batting Stats

PHI

PHI

KC

KC
4.40
Runs / Game
4.26
0.650
Stolen Bases / Game
0.800
1.120
Home Runs / Game
1.050
0.240
Batting Average
0.248
0.707
On Base %
0.718
0.395
Slugging %
0.402
1.100
OBPS
1.120

Fielding Stats

PHI

PHI

KC

KC
0.49
Errors / Game
0.48
0.986
Fielding %
0.987

Pitching Stats

PHI

PHI

KC

KC
0.248
Batting Average Against
0.261
0.402
Slugging % Against
0.439
0.981
On Base % Against
0.981
0.286
Strike Out %
0.215
0.640
Strike %
0.629
0.360
Ball %
0.371

Last 5 Games

PHIPHI

Result

ATS

Total

@ KC

L2 - 5

L-1.5

9

@ KC

W6 - 1

W0

-

vs PIT

L6 - 1

L-1.5

10

vs PIT

W6 - 10

W-1.5

7

vs PIT

W0 - 8

W-1.5

P8

KCKC

Result

ATS

Total

vs PHI

W2 - 5

W+1.5

9

vs PHI

L6 - 1

L0

-

vs TB

L5 - 2

L+2.5

P7

vs TB

L4 - 0

L+1.5

10

vs TB

L10 - 4

L+1.5

10

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