San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Picks, Odds & Player Props

MLB - FINAL

loanDepot park, Miami

San Diego Padres logo
FINAL
Miami Marlins logo

San Diego Padres
2

Miami Marlins
1

Best Odds

Padres vs. Marlins: Kyle Stowers Day | July 21, 2025

Padres vs. Marlins: Kyle Stowers Day | July 21, 2025 - Colby Marchio

Consensus Picks

New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Prediction Engine breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Prediction Engine

FINAL

Projected Winner

Miami Marlinsto win
Confidence
More information
Confidence is the model's estimated chance that its projected winner wins the game.
51.89%(Coin flip)
Rating edge
More information
Rating edge describes the gap between the teams based on the model's rating inputs, including pitching, bullpen, offense and defense.
Strong edge
San Diego Padres logo

San Diego Padres

48.1%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

+108

Starting Pitcher

Randy Vásquez

Miami Marlins logo

Miami Marlins

51.9%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

-108

Starting Pitcher

Eury Pérez

Team Ratings

SD (Away)vsMIA (Home)

Weak24

Pitcher

Strong80
Above Avg67

Bullpen

Average51
Strong82

Defense

Above Avg62
Below Avg38

Offense

Below Avg38
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

SD

SD

MIA

MIA

88 - 78(11th)

34 - 44

Wins

Away/Home

(20th)82 - 86

40 - 47

87 - 79 - 0(8th)

41 - 37 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(3rd)96 - 72 - 0

46 - 41 - 0

69 - 81 - 16(25th)

32 - 39 - 7

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(5th)87 - 67 - 14

43 - 37 - 7

Batting Stats

SD

SD

MIA

MIA
4.33
Runs / Game
4.38
0.650
Stolen Bases / Game
0.850
0.940
Home Runs / Game
0.950
0.252
Batting Average
0.250
0.711
On Base %
0.707
0.390
Slugging %
0.393
1.100
OBPS
1.100

Fielding Stats

SD

SD

MIA

MIA
0.46
Errors / Game
0.52
0.987
Fielding %
0.985

Pitching Stats

SD

SD

MIA

MIA
0.225
Batting Average Against
0.248
0.370
Slugging % Against
0.415
0.977
On Base % Against
0.975
0.268
Strike Out %
0.233
0.639
Strike %
0.642
0.361
Ball %
0.358

Last 5 Games

SDSD

Result

ATS

Total

@ CHC

L1 - 3

L+1.5

7

@ CHC

W3 - 0

W+1.5

7

@ CHC

L1 - 3

L+1.5

6

vs ARI

W4 - 12

W-1.5

12

vs ARI

W1 - 5

W-1.5

7

MIAMIA

Result

ATS

Total

vs NYM

W0 - 4

W+1.5

5

vs NYM

L5 - 0

L+1.5

8

vs NYM

W2 - 6

W+1.5

P8

@ PHI

L0 - 1

W+1.5

9

@ PHI

L1 - 11

L+1.5

9

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