Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City Royals Picks, Odds & Player Props

MLB - FINAL

Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Pittsburgh Pirates logo
FINAL
Kansas City Royals logo

Pittsburgh Pirates
3

Kansas City Royals
4

Best Odds

Pirates vs. Royals: Pitching Prop Predictions | July 9, 2025

Pirates vs. Royals: Pitching Prop Predictions | July 9, 2025 - Colby Marchio

Consensus Picks

New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Prediction Engine breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Prediction Engine

FINAL

Projected Winner

Kansas City Royalsto win
Confidence
More information
Confidence is the model's estimated chance that its projected winner wins the game.
60.29%(Clear edge)
Rating edge
More information
Rating edge describes the gap between the teams based on the model's rating inputs, including pitching, bullpen, offense and defense.
Clear edge
Pittsburgh Pirates logo

Pittsburgh Pirates

39.7%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

+152

Starting Pitcher

Bailey Falter

Kansas City Royals logo

Kansas City Royals

60.3%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

-152

Starting Pitcher

Kris Bubic

Team Ratings

PIT (Away)vsKC (Home)

Below Avg33

Pitcher

Strong71
Average43

Bullpen

Above Avg59
Strong86

Defense

Strong83
Weak13

Offense

Below Avg32
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

PIT

PIT

KC

KC

72 - 97(25th)

28 - 59

Wins

Away/Home

(13th)82 - 77

42 - 33

90 - 78 - 1(7th)

44 - 43 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(17th)78 - 81 - 0

31 - 44 - 0

75 - 81 - 13(21st)

34 - 46 - 7

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(27th)65 - 86 - 8

26 - 47 - 2

Batting Stats

PIT

PIT

KC

KC
3.60
Runs / Game
4.04
0.710
Stolen Bases / Game
0.690
0.720
Home Runs / Game
0.990
0.231
Batting Average
0.247
0.655
On Base %
0.706
0.350
Slugging %
0.397
1.000
OBPS
1.100

Fielding Stats

PIT

PIT

KC

KC
0.48
Errors / Game
0.39
0.987
Fielding %
0.989

Pitching Stats

PIT

PIT

KC

KC
0.236
Batting Average Against
0.241
0.382
Slugging % Against
0.392
0.977
On Base % Against
0.987
0.245
Strike Out %
0.234
0.647
Strike %
0.639
0.353
Ball %
0.361

Last 5 Games

PITPIT

Result

ATS

Total

@ ATL

L1 - 4

L+1.5

7

@ ATL

W3 - 1

W+1.5

8

@ ATL

W9 - 3

W+1.5

8

@ CIN

L1 - 2

W+1.5

8

@ CIN

W4 - 3

W+1.5

8

KCKC

Result

ATS

Total

@ LAA

W9 - 4

W-1.5

9

@ LAA

L2 - 3

W+1.5

9

@ LAA

W8 - 4

W-1.5

9

vs TOR

L8 - 5

L+1.5

8

vs TOR

W1 - 2

W+1.5

9

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