The Chaaaaaaaaampioooooooooooooooons!!!! Yes, yes indeed, the UEFA Champions League has returned. We are now in our third week of matches for the opening league phase of the competition, and things are starting to heat up. We currently have 7 teams that are undefeated, winning both of their opening contests and securing 6 points. Another 7 squads are two points behind with a win and a draw to remain unbeaten through two matches. Several teams have split a win and a loss and sit just outside of the Top 14, while we do have 8 teams looking for their first UCL point, including AC Milan and RB Leipzig. Have no fear, with 9 matches on the slate today, we will surely find your our best bets on the pitch!
Yes, we are taking two juicy home favorites to do their job at home for plus money. It's one of the most elementary ways to bet, but today I think it works out for us. Let's break it down.
AC Milan hosts Club Brugge. Milan is the much more talented team, and they are in great form. They are coming off a home shutout win, but prior to that, lost twice on the road, once in UCL play. AC Milan has the fire power to blow Brugge back to Belgium, and they are a hungry, young team looking for their first point in this competition. Today at home against an inferior opponent, who hasn't played a team of this caliber since losing to Dortmund 3-0 in September, I've got to back Milan to simply handle business and get the win.
We're pairing them with Aston Villa, who shocked the world (me) when they beat Munich their last time out in this competition. Villa is not in the UCL often, so I can imagine their full focus this season being on performing well and making it back next season. They took down the Young Boys on the road and then upset big, bad Bayern, and coming off a 3-1 away win, I like them to beat Bologna who haven't won a match since September 22nd. Pair them both up for +130 at BetOnline, the best odds in the market.
Will Madrid take down Dortmund at home today in the UEFA Champions League?
Borussia Dortmund are at the top of the UCL table as it stands, with a +9 goal differential and 6 points. Dortmund took down Club Brugge 3-0 on the road to start their competition, and then dominated Celtic by a score of 7-1 at home. They were winning 5-1 at halftime and still found a couple more to tack on. Now, Dortmund has dropped a couple easy ones in Bundesliga play recently, but I'm sure their focus has been on this contest.
This is a rematch of the UEFA Champions League Title Match last season, as Real Madrid took down Dortmund 2-0 with two late goals to win it all. I see something similar tonight in the Bernabéu.
Real Madrid lost their last UCL match to Lille on the road, 1-nil. They took down Stuttgart 3-1 at home earlier, so they still have 3 points already. and since that loss in France, they have won two straight La Liga matches.
We are paying a little juice here, but we are going to take the under. Real Madrid haven't been scoring at will, and seeing Dortmund put up 7 goals, I'm sure they make defense a major priority. Dortmund is not going to net 7 goals against Madrid, especially not on the road. They did the right thing and ran up the score to help themselves in the standings against a weaker opponent, but tonight on the road I think they suffer their first loss of this competition. Regardless of the result, I see this going under, as I'm sure both teams are fearful of the other's attack.
I put a full flat unit on this under 3.5 at (-136) and also put a half unit on the under 3 at (+120). Love me some plus money and push potential all in one.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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