Yesterday, Fluminense and Chelsea punched their ticket to the FIFA Club World Cup Semifinals, and today the other two spots get filled. Paris Saint-Germain takes on Bayern Munich, and Real Madrid battle Borussia Dortmund. In this piece, we will focus on the earlier match, which kicks off at noon eastern.
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Khvicha Kvartskhelia and PSG face Bayern Munich in the Quarterfinals
PSG won their group on goal differential and brought the beat down to Inter Miami in the Round of 16. They've battled Atletico Madrid in this competition, but this will be the UCL Champions first true test since knocking off Inter Milan back in May.
As for the German side, they have some major intangibles. Bayern lost to Benfica in their final group stage match to lose the group, but were able to take down Flamengo in the Round of 16.
These teams already played once this season, way back in November. In the league phase portion of the UCL, Bayern Munich hosted and beat PSG 1-0 on a 38′ minute goal. However, Paris Saint-Germain would get the last laugh, by claiming the UCL Crown several months later.
Today, only one will advance to the semifinals, which club will it be?
Matchup Information – PSG vs. Bayern Munich – July 5
Venue & Location: Mercedes Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)
Personally, I would've expected a higher total in this match, but PSG seem to be on a bit of a revenge tour. PSG has not beaten Bayern Munich since 2021. The Germans have gotten the best of the French side each of the last four times they've faced. I think that all changes tonight.
However, I will be getting in and out quickly with a first half pick on the total.
Now, we just watched PSG net all four of their Round of 16 goals in the first half. We also saw four total goals in Munich's match in the first half as well, three of them coming from the German side.
But this match is different.
The stakes are the highest they've ever been, both teams are in great form, and I think they bring plenty of respect towards the other in this contest. PSG's defense has allowed just one goal this tournament, and knowing what Bayern brings to the table, I see them being less aggressive, at least to start.
Give me both teams to spend the first half of this match feeling the other out, trying to limit their mistakes, and ultimately playing for a second half winner. Plenty of push potential and plus money at this line, but under 0.5 (+250) could be an option for the extra degenerate out there.
Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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