Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Gold Cup Quarterfinals Picks & Predictions: Who Moves on in Glendale?

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Last Update: Sat Jun 28, 2025, 12:47 pm ET

Read Time: 4 minutes

Can Mexico take down Saudi Arabia in the Gold Cup?

soccer

The CONCACAF Gold Cup has reached its quarterfinals as we are down to our final eight teams. Tonight in Glendale, Arizona, Mexico and Saudi Arabia battle it out at State Farm Stadium.

Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Gold Cup Picks June 28

Mexico was able to earn the top spot in Group A. They tied with Costa Rica on points, both with seven a piece. Those two played to a scoreless draw in their final group stage match as Mexico held on to first place by goal differential. As for Saudi Arabia, they finished second in Group D behind the United States. The Gold Cup invitees beat Haiti in their opening match, lost to the U.S., and then drew with Trinidad and Tobago to advance to the quarterfinals.

Back in the 2022 World Cup, Mexico defeated Saudi Arabia 2-1 in Group Stage, with the Saudis finding a goal in the 90'+5′.

Tonight, they have a tough task facing the defending Gold Cup Champions in Mexico.

Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Gold Cup Betting Odds

Saudi Arabia faces Mexico in the Gold Cup tonight

Feras Al-Briken has a goal and five shots for Saudi Arabia this tournament

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline. Sign up today with Promo Code FREE250 for a 50% deposit bonus up to $250 AND 100 Free Spins at our online casino.

Money Line

  • Mexico -204
  • Draw +310
  • Saudi Arabia +640

Spread

  • Mexico -1 (-117)
  • Saudi Arabia +1 (-103)

Total

  • Over 2.5 (+118)
  • Under 2.5 (-145)

Ultimately, Saudi Arabia is outmatched. Mexico is primed and ready to keep rolling in this Gold Cup bracket, and I see them starting the knockout portion of this competition with an easy victory.

Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia Gold Cup Picks & Predictions

Back Mexico to score against Saudi Arabia in the Gold Cup Quarterfinals

Cesar Montes has three goals for Mexico in this competition

Best Bet: Mexico Team Total Over 1.5 (-128) BetOnline

Back the better team tonight. Simple. Mexico is a heavy favorite for a reason, and they should handle business. They have won two of the last three Gold Cup competitions, making the finals in three straight seasons. This tournament should be no different, as Mexico is easily the strongest team overall.

While Saudi Arabia has not allowed more than one goal in a match yet this competition, Mexico will be a different animal to face. They netted three against the Dominican Republic and two against Suriname before going scoreless against Costa Rica (where they only needed a draw).

Tonight I see them leaving no doubt in a stadium that should have plenty of support for this squad. Give me Mexico in a dominating victory tonight, netting at least two. I also lean with Mexico to Win to Nil at (+115), but I trust their offense to get the job done slightly more.

Prediction: Mexico Wins 3-0 (+900)

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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