Prediction & Best Bet: Kraken vs Stars Game 7

Nate Hornung

Mon May 15 2023

Prediction & Best Bet: Kraken vs Stars Game 7 cover

It all goes down tonight in Dallas.

The Kraken and Stars face off for the very last time this season in a winner-takes-all Game 7 matchup to close out the series, and we’ve got the best prediction and bets for the game!

In six games, we’ve seen both teams steal a game on the road, and defend their home ice successfully twice.

Tonight, the Kraken look to ruin Stars fan’s hopes and dreams and steal this game, thus punching their ticket to the Conference Finals to face the Vegas Golden Knights. However, the Stars will want to show out for their hometown crowd, but will they be able to advance?

Let’s breakdown tonight’s matchup!

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Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
  • Date: Monday, May 15th, 2023
  • Puck Drop: 7:00pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: ESPN

Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM.

$1,000 Risk-Free 1st Bet


  • Seattle Kraken +1.5 (-155)
  • Dallas Stars -1.5 (+125)


  • Seattle Kraken +170
  • Dallas Stars -210


  • Over 6 (+100)
  • Under 6 (-120)

Kraken vs Stars Game 7 Prediction & Picks

I lean with the Stars to get the win at home tonight, and I’d even go so far as to say I think they do it in regulation as well. However, I’ve decided to pay the juiceman elsewhere for this game.

I think we see another high scoring game, perhaps a 6-3 Stars victory.

But let’s break down the two plays for tonight’s game.

Game 7 Total

Stars/Kraken Over 6 (+100) BetMGM

I risk sounding like a broken record while I pitch you the Over 6 for even money in this game.

These two teams have gone over 5.5 goals in all nine of their matchups this year. In fact, they have only had one game end on 6 total goals, Game 2 of this series.

Every other game between these two teams has seen 7 or 9 totals goals. Tonight, once again, the Over 6 is even money with plenty of push equity for those interested.

I strongly lean with the Over 6 for the value and ability to push in this game.

$1,000 Risk-Free 1st Bet

Game 7 Player Prop

Eeli Tolvanen Over 1.5 SOGs (-148) FanDuel

Now we pitched this guy for Game 6, and he got us there no problem. Back for Game 7, we’re rolling with Mr. Tolvanen for just 2 SOGs.

Tolvanen has hit this number in just 7/13 playoff games this year, but he has hit in 5/7 playoff games on the road.

Against the Stars specifically, Tolvanen has hit this in 6/9 games this year, including 4/6 in the playoffs, and 3 games with 3 SOGs.

In six games this series, Tolvanen has totaled 12 SOGs on 29 Shot Attempts. He’s been extra productive in the last 4 meetings, totaling 8 SOGs on 20 Shot Attempts. In the past few games, Tolvanen has stepped up and put the puck on net for his team

He will need to do so tonight if the Kraken want to win this game, so I think Tolvanen for 2 SOGs at this price would make a perfect pairing.

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 4 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Currently pursuing a Math degree, Nate hopes to get a better understanding of numbers to help him become a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.