The quest for the 2024 Stanley Cup begins as the Vancouver Canucks host the Nashville Predators in Game 1 of this First Round of the NHL Playoffs.
The Canucks ended up running away with the Pacific Division and secured the #1 seed. Now they face the Wild Card squad from the Central Division in this first round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, a postseason they haven't fade since the 2019-2020 season.
After missing the playoffs last season, the Predators are back in the postseason. Prior to last season, Nashville had an 8 season streak of making the Stanley Cup Playoffs, and now they have their sights set on making it back to the Finals like they did in 2016-2017.
Who will take game one in Vancouver?
Let's take a dive into this game and find our best bets.
Can the Canucks hold off the Predators at home tonight?
The Canucks handled business in every game against Nashville this regular season. In all three meetings, the Canucks came out on top, beating the Predators 3-2 in Nashville, 5-2 at home, and 5-2 back on the road. Now two of these meetings happened in late October, with the 3rd happening just before Christmas, so it's been a while since these teams met.
But have the Predators improved enough to upset Vancouver at home?
Believe it or not, the Predators actually won more games on the road this season than they did at Bridgestone Arena, where as the Canucks won four more games at home. The Canucks averaged 2.7 Goals Against per game ranking tied for 5th in the NHL, while the Predators found themselves at 3.02 Goals Against per game, ranking 15th. Vancouver also averaged more goals per game as well, scoring 3.4 compared to the Predators 3.24.
Ultimately, I think the Predators rely heavily on their defense to bring them a victory on the road, but I'm not convinced that it will be enough. Vancouver ranks 5th in the league in goal differential this year, while the Predators are last amongst Western Conference Playoff teams in that category.
Point being, Nashville has their work cut out for themselves on the road.
I'll bet on the home team tonight. The Canucks have beaten Nashville all three times this season, and beat them in four straight games dating back to last season. The Predators have not beaten the Canucks in Vancouver since November of 2022, and I don't see it happening tonight.
Thatcher Demko ranked 5th amongst qualifying goalies in Goal Against/Game this year, allowing just 2.45 and stopping 91.8% of shots, which ranked tied for 3rd. Juuse Saros is much further down the list for the Predators.
He ranks 26th in goals against, allowing 2.86 per game, and stopped only 90.6% of shots, ranking 23rd.
I'd much rather back the team that scores more, gives up less, and the Top 5 keeper, compared to Top 25. Give me the Canucks at home for a little bit of juice.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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