NCAA Basketball Best Bets Today: December 11th, 2023

Nate Hornung

Written by: Nate Hornung

Last Updated:

Read Time: 5 minutes


The College Hoops season is upon us, so let’s discuss our NCAA Basketball Best Bets for Today!

This page will be updated regularly to provide you with the best college basketball picks every single day of this long season.

Buckle up, we’ve got a long ride ahead of us until March!

Let’s dive right in!

College Basketball Transparency

As always, being transparent is the most important part of this business.

Here’s how we’ve done so far in the 2023-2024 NCAA Basketball Season:

  • 65-54 (54.62%)
  • +10.65 units

We’ve also picked our spots well.

  • 2U CBB Plays
  • 2-0 +4 units

After being up almost 18 units, we’ve quickly comeback down to Earth. Gotta keep the head down and keep grinding for winners.

Let’s get into Today’s NCAA Basketball Best Bets!

NCAA Basketball Best Bets Today

Just a few games on this Monday, so let’s get into it!

This game is a marathon, not a sprint.

Let’s get right into my NCAA Basketball Best Bets for Today!

Howard @ Pennsylvania

NCAA Basketball Best Bets

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: The Palestra (Philadelphia, PA)
  • Date: Monday, December 11th, 2023
  • Tip Off: 7:00pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

The Pick: Pennsylvania -5.5 (-110) Get a Deposit @ Bovada

Although Penn is much slower than the Howard Bison, they are much more efficient. Let’s just break down the stats.

Howard is 103rd in pace, 130th in scoring (77.4 PPG), but just 205th in FG%, shooting 44% overall as a team.

The Penn Quakers are 259th in pace, 54th in scoring (81.5 PPG), and 36th in FG%, hitting almost 49% of their shots. They also are 17th in 3s per game, knocking down over 10 per game and shooting 41% from beyond the arc.

Howard does hold their opponents to 32% from deep, but with the Quakers taking over 40% of their shots from deep, they are bound to make a few.

I think this sharp shooting Penn team is too good for the Bison’s 270th ranked defense.

The Bison will speed up this game, but I think that will simply benefit Penn by giving their efficient offense more possessions to score.

Give me the home team to cover tonight.

Mississippi Valley State @ Gonzaga

NCAA Basketball Best Bets

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: McCarthey Athletic Center (Spokane, WA)
  • Date: Monday, December 11th, 2023
  • Tip Off: 9:00pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

The Pick: MVSU/Gonzaga Over 141 (-110) Get These Odds @ Bovada

Even with Mississippi Valley State’s horrendous offensive numbers, I trust them to do enough to get this total over. They are 0-9 and the lowest scoring team in Division 1 basketball, but Gonzaga is fast enough to push this pace and force the Delta Devils to keep up.

Gonzaga could easily score 100, and with their TT sitting at 91.5, I did take a glance. However, this will be such a blowout, I do not expect them to play defense with full effort for the entire game. They should easy up on the back end while still running good sets on offense and knocking down shots.

The Zags score 86 PPG, hit 50% of their shots, and shoot 35% from deep. They crash the offensive glass like crazy, and I think they really run up the score in front of their home crowd.

Give me this game to get over assuming MVSU puts up at least 50.

Utah Tech @ CS-Northridge

NCAA Basketball Best Bets

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: Premier America Credit Union Arena (Northridge, CA)
  • Date: Monday, December 11th, 2023
  • Tip Off: 10:00pm Eastern
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

The Pick: Utah Tech/CSN Over 146 (-110) Find These Odds @ Bovada

The last game on the slate, and we are rooting for points. The Utah Tech Trailblazers are already fast, but now they face the Matadors of Northridge who rank 19th in pace this season and 52nd in FG% hitting 48% of their shots.

Utah Tech shoots 44.4% themselves and ranks 42nd in 3P% knocking down 7 3s a game at 38% from deep. Cal State Northridge allows over 41% of shots to be from beyond the arc, so the Trailblazers could get streaky from deep to help this over.

The Matadors are incredibly good at offensive rebounding, creating over 13 extra possessions per game ranking 15th in the country.

As the pace of these teams increases, so do their turnovers. Both are bottom 20 in TO/game, combining for nearly 30 each time they step on the court. Sloppy play could lead to easy layups against these poor defenses.

Late at night following Monday Night Football, who doesn’t want to root for points?

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Nate Hornung
Nate Hornung

Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.

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