NBA Prop Bets for Saturday, January 10 | Betting News

Danny Burke

Written by: Danny Burke

Published: Sat Jan 10, 2026, 12:17 pm ET

Read Time: 5 minutes

Check out a few of Danny Burke's plays on the hardwood this Saturday, as he delivers his three NBA prop bets for Saturday, January 10.

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Happy Saturday, everyone, and welcome to the weekend. We've got a six-game NBA slate to work with this evening, and I've got three plays to sweat out.

Due to the postponement of the Bulls game the other night, only one of our plays made it onto the court, but fortunately it was a winner on the Timberwolves moneyline. Last night on our show, Kate's Prop Shop, we went 2-2, bringing our overall record to 91-66-1 and up +16.41 units.

Let's keep building on that with our NBA prop bets for Saturday, January 10.

For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today's slate, take a look at our NBA Picks Page or our NBA Odds Page.

You can also browse our recommendations for the best online sportsbooks available in the U.S.

NBA Prop Bets for Saturday, January 10

Bulls vs Heat NBA Play-In Tournament predictions, odds and best bets

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Under 233.5 (-109)

Both of these teams play at a top-10 pace, but neither has been efficient offensively. Dallas ranks 28th in offensive points per 100 possessions, while Chicago sits 22nd.

The Mavericks also bring one of the NBA's better all-around defenses, ranking third in opponent effective field goal percentage and 10th in Pts/Poss. 

Chicago has slipped slightly on the defensive end, but this matchup still sets up reasonably well for them. Dallas takes the fifth-most shot attempts from mid-range and the ninth-most at the rim, and the Bulls rank second in both shot rate and field goal percentage allowed from mid-range, along with 14th in opponent field goal percentage at the rim.

On the other end, Chicago's offense prefers to attack the rim and shoot from beyond the arc. That runs directly into a Dallas defense that owns the league's best three-point defense and also ranks 11th in opponent field goal percentage at the rim.

Both teams also counter each other well at the free-throw line. Chicago ranks 24th in offensive free-throw rate, while Dallas sits eighth defensively. Conversely, the Mavericks are 19th in free-throw rate, and the Bulls rank fifth defensively.

All things considered, this total feels a bit bullish (no pun intended) for two teams that struggle to score consistently.

Cavaliers vs Thunder NBA Predictions, Odds, Props & Picks (1/16)

Jarrett Allen Under 12.5 Points (-104)

In an immediate rematch from Thursday night, the Timberwolves and Cavaliers square off once again – this time back in Cleveland, where the home team will be looking for revenge after falling 131–122 in their previous meeting.

In that game, Cavaliers big man Jarrett Allen went 5-of-9 from the floor, scoring 11 points while hauling in 10 rebounds. On the season, Allen is averaging just under 14 points per game.

I don't expect his scoring output to come close to that average tonight. though. Instead, I'm anticipating a similar performance to what we saw the other night.

Allen is currently posting the lowest points-per-shot-attempt rate of his career (126.1), which places him in just the 69th percentile among players at his position. As expected for a big man, a majority of his shots come at the rim (60%) – an area where Minnesota ranks fifth in opponent field-goal percentage allowed (63.9%). He's also taking a sizable portion of his attempts from mid-range, where the Timberwolves rank 11th in opponent field-goal percentage (42.8%).

Overall, Minnesota owns one of the league's best defenses, ranking fourth in both points per 100 possessions allowed and effective field-goal percentage. That makes this a difficult matchup across the board, especially given how well the Wolves defend the specific areas where Allen does most of his scoring.

Allen isn't a go-to scorer in this Cavaliers offense, and I don't expect that to change tonight.

Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama Over 9.5 Rebounds (+105)

Getting the opportunity to bet Victor Wembanyama over 9.5 rebounds at plus money feels almost too good to be true. And while I'm well aware he's been a bit more volatile on the glass lately, this still profiles as a quality look.

He's averaging 11.5 rebounds per game this season and has cleared 9.5 in 15 of his 24 games. Boston does bring a solid rebounding presence, ranking eighth in rebound percentage – just four spots behind San Antonio.

The Spurs enter this matchup with two full days of rest, so their legs should be in good shape to defend effectively and force missed shots, which in turn creates more rebounding opportunities. The Celtics, meanwhile, are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Overall, San Antonio's defense has been strong, ranking sixth in points per 100 possessions allowed and seventh in effective field-goal percentage allowed. That sets up a difficult spot for Boston regardless, and one that should still allow Wembanyama to clean up on the glass.

Best Bets:

NBA Record: 91-66-1 (+16.41 units)

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Danny Burke
Danny Burke

Danny Burke is a betting analyst with a decade of sports media experience. He got his start at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, sharing picks on the local ESPN affiliate. After college, he hosted shows for VSiN in Las Vegas before returning to Chicago to launch 'Rush Hour', the first daily sports betting show from an Illinois casino. He also co-hosted 'Props and Locks' on Fox32’s Bears pregame show and ran 'Bet On, Chicago' on WLS-AM 890.

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