San Diego Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

Aaron Baruh

Written by: Aaron Baruh

Last Updated:

Read Time: 5 minutes

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Well, well, well — if it isn’t the 21-27 Road Padres looking to complete a sweep north of the border against the Blue Jays, who tout a 26-20 record at home in the Rogers Centre.

Can the Padres make it 3?

Through the first two games of this series, no favorite has earned more than -120 odds. We’re set up for another game where the books really can’t make up their minds on who should take this one, which really seems to be the tone for both of these teams all season long — predictably unpredictable.

Here’s a wild stat for you: the Toronto Blue Jays 0-2 loss Wednesday Night marked the fifth time that they’ve been shutout over the last 23 games. Any guess on who has the best record in the AL over that span? (Answer: THE TORONTO BLUE JAYS.)

Setting all of that aside, let’s dive into this Thursday Afternoon matchup and figure out where we’re bringing our coins home. Read below to find Padres-Blue Jays season recap, best bets, player props & game predictions.

Padres vs Blue Jays Game Information

Blake Snell — DAWG.

Matchup Information

  • Venue & Location: Rogers Centre (Toronto, Ontario)
  • Date: Thursday, July 19th, 2023
  • First Pitch: 1:07 PM EST
  • Broadcast: SportsNet NOW

Pitching Matchup

  • San Diego Padres: Blake Snell (6-7, 2.71 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 103.o IP, 139 K’s)
  • Toronto Blue Jays: Chris Bassitt (9-5, 4.12 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 115.2 IP, 107 K’s)

Bettings Odds

Odds courtesy of BetUs.

Run Line

  • Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)


  • Padres (-114)
  • Blue Jays (+104)


  • Over 9 (-105)
  • Under 9 (-115)

Padres Season Recap

Let’s get one thing straight — there isn’t a single person in the San Diego Padres fanbase that’s okay with how this season has gone so far. I don’t think you’ll find anybody that watches baseball, outside of other NL West fans, that would’ve pictured a world where, with this roster, the Padres would be rocking 46-50 record & in 4th Place in their division. Now, here’s the thing — this team can still make some noise. With the recent call up of Alek Jacob from their AA club in San Antonio, they now add another reliable arm to their bullpen, something that they’ve been toying with desperately all season long. With how Manny Machado’s been playing these last two weeks, (.361 BA, 7 HR, 15 RBI., 1.472 OPS), plus the breakout of Ha-Seong Kim & more consistency out of the big-dollar bats — Tatis, Soto and Xander — the Pads have every opportunity to make a run at the Wildcard, being only 6.5 games back.

Blue Jays Season Recap

What is this Blue Jays team? They’re up, they’re down. They’re down, they’re up. Through this rollercoaster of a season so far, they’re still breathing though. There’s certainly been a lot more up’s than down’s, but I don’t think they’re anywhere near satisfied. Staring at a 53-43 record on the year so far, 3rd place in AL East, but a 7-20 record vs their own division — the Jays need to steady the waters. Scoring 1 run in the last 18 innings isn’t going to get them there. This team is quite literally the AL version of the Padres. We never know what kind of product we’re going to get on the diamond each time they trot out there and I guess that’s what keeps us all tuning in as much as we can. They’re going to have a quick turnaround as they head into a weekend series in Seattle followed by a trip to Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers to kick off next week.

Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction & Best Bets

I was saying in my inner circle at the beginning of this series that, unfortunately for Blue Jays, I think the Padres wrap up the road series sweep today.

There isn’t another pitcher in the MLB who’s putting up the numbers that Blake Snell has over the the last month+ (L30 Days: 5 Starts, 3-1, 0.64 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 28 IP, 46 K’s, .173 OBA) His Curveball & Changeup have been a revelation, .085 OBA & 6.5% Hard Hit Rate, respectively. For a Blue Jays team that’s bottom 10 in the MLB for OPS vs Lefties, they’re looking forward to getting on the jet for Seattle tonight and forgetting about this series.

For a team that needs to protect it’s valued bullpen arms, the Padres have done just that this series. We saw Tim Cosgrove and Alek Jacob in Game 1 of this series put together 3 scoreless innings, followed up by Steven Wilson, Nick Martinez and Closer Josh Hader’s 3 scoreless, yesterday. I fully anticipate Blake Snell continuing this impressive run. Snell should give the Padres 6 IP, supported by Cosgrove, Jakob and then Hader to close out the series. For Padres bettors, let’s hope Manager Bob Melvin doesn’t get creative and to force anyone else in there.

Here’s where my units are going.

Game Prediction, Best Bets, Player Props:

Runs are going to come at an absolute premium today. Ha-Seong Kim’s out of the lineup, so we’ll see Fernando Tatis Jr. leading off with Matt Carpenter stepping into the lineup and Alfonso Rivas playing in his 5th game of the season for the Padres. The Blue Jays recalled Jordan Luplow to slide back into their starting roster. I’m heavily leaning towards a lot defensive baseball today at the Rogers Centre.

Player Prop: Trent Grisham o1.5 Hit+Run+RBI (+125) via Bovada

Here’s a cheeky play for you. Chris Bassitt relies heavily on his sinker and as he should, it’s by far on the best in entire league. According to Baseball Savant it has a Run Value of 17 — the highest in the MLB. Sneakily though, Trent Grisham is a Top 10 hitter vs the Sinker, with Fernando Tatis Jr. not far behind. I really can’t decide if I prefer Trent’s over 1.5 bases at (+121) or this here, but I’ll leave that up to you all to decide for yourselves.

Game Prop: Toronto Blue Jays Exact Runs 2, 3 (+550, +490)

Oh you wanna gamble today? I’m all in. Did some diving and it’s just juicy to pass up.

Why not just get a spinkling of weird today?

Best Bet: UNDER 8.5 (+100) via Bovada


There will be plenty of hits. Plenty of moments where the heart starts racing, thinking “the hell we doin’ man? The under??? Really?” Yes — the under. Be bold. Be brave. Lock in.

This game is ended 3-2, 4-3 MAYBE, but we won’t be seeing 9 runs today.

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Aaron Baruh
Aaron Baruh

Aaron Baruh, known to many as the artist Notamush, is a San Francisco homer currently residing in the San Diego sun. A true sports fanatic, he grew up watching ESPN over cartoons and quite literally, his first word was "baseball." His dream of becoming a Sports Broadcaster died during his time at the University of Arizona, when we'll just say his priorities got mixed up. Mush's betting career started in the stands of Oracle Arena during the WCF between the Warriors-Blazers and he's been grinding out plays ever since. Win or lose, the vibes always remain on top. That'll never change. Make sure to follow him on Twitter @notamush.

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