Red Sox vs. Mariners: First Five Team Total Runs | June 16, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Mon Jun 16, 2025, 5:46 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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Red Sox vs. Mariners: One of the league's hottest lineups returns home to face a struggling arm. Seattle has crushed right-handers and gets a gift matchup. With plus money on the board, this is a great spot to back the Mariners early.
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Last Month: 78-153 (-4.77u)
Last Week: 18-40 (-2.32u)
Red Sox vs. Mariners Best Bet – June 16
Can Cal Raleigh contribute at the plate tonight for the Mariners?
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One of the hottest offenses in baseball takes on one of the worst-rated pitchers of the day in lovely Seattle. The Mariners' first five team total is the play this evening, set at 2.5 and priced at a nice +120.
Lucas Giolito vs. Mariners
Seattle faces Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito, who holds the second-worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box's default ratings. In the current season ratings, he ranks dead last, with poor marks in wOBA, ISO, hard contact, and strikeout percentage. According to FanGraphs, 97% of Giolito's arsenal grades below league average.
Through eight starts, Giolito owns a 5.45 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He is allowing an average of 3.12 runs, 5.8 hits, and 1.6 extra-base hits per outing. Opponents are batting .301 with a .355 OBP, .467 slugging percentage, and an .823 OPS against him.
The Mariners have been rolling. Over the last seven days, they rank seventh in offense, hitting .284 with a .369 OBP, .445 slugging, and a 138 wRC+. Over the last two weeks, they remain in the top-10. This is a lineup averaging 2.37 runs in the first five innings, facing a Red Sox team allowing 2.79 runs in that same span on the road.
At this price, this is a strong spot to back Seattle. Maybe Boston is still feeling the effects of the Rafael Devers trade, but either way, the Mariners should get to Giolito early.
Best Bet: Mariners First Five Team Total Over 2.5 (+120) odds via BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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