Rays vs. Mets: Can Juan Soto Continue to Shine? | June 13, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Fri Jun 13, 2025, 3:34 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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Rays vs. Mets: Some may be circling Pete Alonso today, but the sharper angle points to Juan Soto. The metrics, trends, and matchup all align. Soto is locked in at the plate and draws a vulnerable arm in Taj Bradley.
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Last Month: 80-149 (-1.7u)
Last Week: 15-39 (-7.58u)
Rays vs. Mets Best Bet – June 13
Can Juan Soto Continue his June dominance?
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Some may believe it is a Pete Alonso Day—and they may be right—but the numbers are pointing toward the man with the bag, Juan Soto.
He enters today with the fifth-highest rating on Batters-Box matchup rankings. In 55 elite home matchups, Soto records a hit 72% of the time, goes over 1.5 total bases 40% of the time, and clears this prop 63% of the time.
The face of the Mets will face Rays starter Taj Bradley, who enters with a poorly rated matchup ISO and concerning hard contact numbers. Bradley is allowing 42% hard contact to opposing hitters, giving up 4.9 hits and 1.6 extra-base hits per start. He throws fastballs 45% of the time, but his most effective pitch is his curveball, used just 14% of the time. Against curveballs this season, Soto holds a run value of 2, a .260 xBA, .481 xSLG, .450 xwOBA, and a 63% hard-hit rate, per Baseball Savant.
While Bradley's home and road splits are nearly identical, his inconsistency and elevated hard contact rate make this an ideal spot. Soto profiles well against every pitch in Bradley's arsenal. Over the last 15 days, he has been seeing the ball extremely well, posting a .386 batting average, .542 on-base percentage, .818 slugging percentage, and a 1.361 OPS.
Juan Soto looks like the right call today.
Best Bet: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI (-105) odds via BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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