Guardians vs. Yankees: Odds & Predictions | June 5, 2025
Written by: Colby Marchio
Last Update: Thu Jun 05, 2025, 4:13 pm ET
Read Time: 3 minutes
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Guardians vs. Yankees: Aaron Judge cashed for us yesterday, and we are heading right back to the well. The matchup somehow looks even better. This is one of those spots you simply do not overthink.
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Last Month: 86-150 (+6.86u)
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Guardians vs. Yankees Odds
Can Aaron Judge give us some fireworks tonight?
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Run Line
Guardians: +1.5 (+112)
Yankees: -1.5 (-132)
Total
Over: 8.5 (-104)
Under: 8.5 (-116)
Moneyline
Guardians: +238
Yankees: -268
Guardians vs. Yankees Best Bet
The time has come once again, we are running back the captain's bases prop.
He may have an even better matchup today than he did yesterday. Taking on Guardians starter, Slade Cecconi, who owns a 5.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP through three starts this season. Last season, in 20 games, he owned a 6.66 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. So far this year, he is allowing 5.6 hits and three extra-base hits per game. He has only thrown 15.1 innings.
Over the last three years, Cecconi has zero pitches that are above league average. NONE. He has five pitches in his arsenal, none above league average. Does Judge destroy all five of those pitches? Of course.
The Yankees star also owns the highest matchup rating on Batters-Box, with a .753 rating. To give the folks at home a better understanding how high that rating is, being graded as "elite" means you have to be above a .45. The second highest rating on the day is James Wood, who has a .574. In 94 home elite ratings, Judge records a hit 70% of the time, two hits 37% of the time, over this prop 58% of the time, and homers 35% of the time.
This is a must-run-back in my book. Pay the $1.35 price. The matchup and trends are too good to pass up on.
Best Bet: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135) odds via BetOnline
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Former D1 (club) baseball player, Colby has been betting since his college days at DePaul, where he had to endure the worst collegiate basketball the Big East has ever seen. He is an advanced analytics nerd and has never seen an underdog he has not liked. Hot. Corn. Bull. It does not matter the dog he loves them all.
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