Brewers vs. Dodgers: Game 3 Props | October 16, 2025

Game 3 of the NLCS features the Dodgers, who lead the series 2-0, hosting the Brewers. Los Angeles has been the team to beat all season and still looks unbeatable. The Brewers will do everything possible tonight on the road to make this series competitive. I, for one, do not have much hope they will, but I have been wrong before.

Nobody will be surprised with where I am leaning this evening. I think the Dodgers continue to roll and easily surpass 2.5 runs in the first five innings against whoever the Brewers decide to throw tonight in Los Angeles. Reliever Aaron Ashby is expected to open, followed by veteran left-hander Jose Quintana. The Dodgers have excelled against lefties at home this season, ranking top ten in most offensive categories. Over the last four weeks, they have posted a wRC+ above 105, an OPS above .727, an ISO above .270, and a walk rate near 10%. They should match up well against the two southpaws Milwaukee plans to use.

LHP Andy Ashby is the Brewers opener again today with Jose Quintana expected to follow at some point

— Bob Nightengale (@BNightengale) October 16, 2025

Southpaws vs. Dodgers

Both Ashby and Quintana have had their issues on the road. Ashby owns a 3.03 road ERA, with opposing hitters batting above .250 against him. Right-handed hitters have done the most damage, hitting .301 with a .425 SLG and .336 wOBA. This will be the third time the Dodgers have seen Ashby this season. While he allowed just one hit over 1.2 innings in his last appearance against them, familiarity often favors the offense.

Quintana has been struggling significantly. Over his last five games, he holds a 6.46 ERA, 5.15 xERA, and 4.99 xFIP. Opponents have a .263 xBA, .432 xSLG, and .366 xwOBA. In his last five road starts, he has a 3.67 ERA, but an expected ERA of 4.32. Those outings came against the Cubs, Rangers, Reds, Braves, and Nationals, three of which scored at least two runs.

The Dodgers lineup, heavy with right-handed hitters, should be all over the Brewers veteran. Quintana has struggled against right-handed bats all season. His ERA against them is 3.31, but his expected ERA sits at 5.34 with a 4.78 xFIP. Over his last 60 faced, he carries a 6.28 ERA, 5.43 xERA, and 4.24 xFIP, while allowing 42.5% hard contact and a 15% barrel rate. Right-handed hitters have produced a .307 xBA, .544 xSLG, and .374 xwOBA against him.

Five Dodgers hitters are batting .250 or better in their last 30 at-bats versus left-handers. During that span, four have an OBP of .333 or better, a SLG of .481 or better, and an OPS of .814 or better. The entire lineup is producing at least 33.3% hard contact, making this an ideal matchup for Los Angeles once again.

Getting plus money on 2.5 runs makes this bet an even more exciting sweat. This should be a spot where the experienced Dodgers lineup puts their foot on the gas and takes full control of the series.