Saratoga Picks: Mahony Stakes (8/16/2026)

The racing action from Saratoga on Sunday features the Mahony Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Saratoga picks for the entire card!

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Saratoga Full Card Analysis

Saratoga Picks: Mahony Stakes (8/16/2026)

Saratoga Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 1:10 PM ET; Allowance $105k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 5 runners.

• #4 JUDGE BOUSHAY (2-1): Top Pick. Barn has been solid. Stamina to outlast the competition.
• #5 CRESCENDO'S REIN (9-5): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Prat puts this one in with a chance.
• #1 ZAPRUDER (5-2): Major Player. Should sit a good trip.
• #3 SENEGAL (5-1): Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 1 – 3

The Plays

Win: #4 at 7-5

Exacta Box: 4,5

Saratoga Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:49 PM ET; Allowance $105k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 6 runners.

• #5 CARC BROTHERS (4-5): Top Pick. Franco puts this one in with a chance. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #2 WILLPOWERED (4-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #1 OAT COUTOUR (6-1): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races.
• #3 SIX FORTYFIVE (10-1): Fringe Contender. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Fast enough on paper to compete.

Selections: 5 – 2 – 1 – 3

The Plays

Win: #5 at 1-1

Exacta: 5 / 2,1,3

Saratoga Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 2:24 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $125k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 5 runners.

• #1 LIMES DON'T LIE (5-2): Top Pick. Comes in with solid form. Should be able to work out a trip.
• #5 NEXT ON STAGE (2-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #2 SHE'S A GAMER (9-5): Contender. The 95 speed rating is among the best in the field. Should sit a good trip.
• #3 COASTER (9-2): Contender. Recent races are solid. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 1 – 5 – 2 – 3

The Plays

Win: #1 at 5-2

Pick 3 (Races 3-5): #1,5 with #10 with #4

Exacta: 1 / 5,3

Saratoga Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 3:03 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $115k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.

• #10 RELATED PARTY (5-1): Longshot Play of the Day. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
• #9 GREENWELL (5-2): Contender. Comes home strong. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
• #5 REAL RESTRAINT (7-2): Fringe Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
• #2 SUSPEND (8-1): Fringe Contender. Alvarado and Mott team up on this one. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 10 – 9 – 5 – 2

The Plays

Win: #10 at 5-1

Trifecta: 10 / 9,5 / 9,5,2

Saratoga Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 3:38 PM ET; Claiming $42k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #4 SEEKER'S HOPE (8-5): Best Bet of the Card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #2 LEXINGTON PIKE (10-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer is having a great meet. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #7 RED MILLER (6-1): Fringe Contender. Should sit a good trip. This one's a fighter in the late stages.
• #3 SPORTS HERO (12-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 4 – 2 – 7 – 3

The Plays

Win: #4 at 1-1

Exacta: 4 / 2,7,3

Saratoga Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 4:17 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $115k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 13 runners.

• #7 CASINO (6-1): Top Pick. Love the heart this one shows in a fight. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #10 PERMANENT RECORD (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
• #2 NOT EVER (7-2): Major Player. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
• #12 GOT TOUGH (2-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 7 – 10 – 2 – 12

The Plays

Win: #7 at 5-1

Exacta: 7 / 10,2,12

Saratoga Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 4:52 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $41k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #4 PRIVATE FLIGHT (2-1): Prime Win Player. Solid breeding for this spot. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
• #3 REBALANCING (3-1): Contender. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #5 INSTANTLY (5-2): Fringe Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
• #8 TURBO LAUNCH (5-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 4 – 3 – 5 – 8

The Plays

Win: #4 at 7-5

Exacta: 4 / 3,5,8

Saratoga Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 5:31 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $110k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

• #4 INSPEIGHTOFCHARLIE (7-2): Top Pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
• #5 JACK'S WORLD (5-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Should take a liking to the race shape.
• #15 WHITTINGTON PARK (9-5): Major Player. The 89 speed rating is among the best in the field. Potential to kick home late.
• #7 FUNNY FACTOR (12-1): Contender. Recent races are solid.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 15 – 7

The Plays

Win: #4 at 3-1

Exacta: 4 / 5,15,7

Saratoga Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 6:06 PM ET; Mahony Stakes $225k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 7 runners.

• #4 INTRICATE SPIRIT (6-1): Top Pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Stamina to outlast the competition.
• #6 LEARNTODISCOVER (6-1): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Trainer is having a great meet.
• #2 OUTFIELDER (1-1): Major Player. Should sit a good trip. Has experience at this level.
• #7 STRADALE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Top connections on the circuit with Ortiz and Asmussen. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 4 – 6 – 2 – 7

The Plays

Win: #4 at 5-1

Exacta: 4 / 6,7

Saratoga Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 6:41 PM ET; Claiming $45k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #1 LOTSA TROUBLE (9-2): Top Pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Shouldn't have trouble getting the distance.
• #8 STEWIE (8-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Franco puts this one in with a chance.
• #6 ON THE LEDGE (5-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races.
• #5 MR SKYLIGHT (10-1): Major Player. Could be grinding down the competition late. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 1 – 8 – 6 – 5

The Plays

Win: #1 at 7-2

Exacta: 1 / 8,6,5

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