Keeneland Picks: Lexington Stakes Derby Prep
Written by: Chris Adams
Last Update: Fri Apr 12, 2024, 2:24 pm ET
Read Time: 6 minutes
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Keeneland will host the final Kentucky Derby prep of the year. Check out our Keeneland picks for the Lexington Stakes. Runners will hope to cement their place in the starting gate on the first Saturday in May.
Full Card Analysis
Keeneland Picks 4/13/2024
Bet all of today's selections with signup bonuses and promotions at BetOnline.
Keeneland Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:00 PM ET, $43k Maiden Claiming, 5 1/2 f on dirt, 12 Entries
- #1 GLORIETTE (4-1): Top selection. Consistent pace figures, suited for the anticipated moderate pace. Trained by Colebrook and ridden by Machado.
- #6 BAINBRIDGE DANCER (20-1): Major player. Capable of handling the distance well.
- #3 MISSILE (2-1): Competitive. Demonstrated ability to compete at this level.
- #10 STUCK ON YOU (10-1): Contender. Shouldn't have issues with the distance.
Selections:
1 – 6 – 3 – 10
Keeneland Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:32 PM ET, $60k Claiming, 7 f on dirt, 8 Entries
Longshot Play of the Day
- #6 ST. BENEDICTS PREP (6-1): Top selection. Competitive races, trained by Colebrook and ridden by Machado. Bet the longshot play of the card at BetOnline.
- #4 LIAM'S CHAMP (3-1): Major player. Proven in similar conditions.
- #7 EYES OF GOLD (20-1): Contender. Chance to surprise, ridden by Castanon.
- #3 THEROANRUNNER (8-5): Strong contender. Dangerous on the front end.
Selections: 6 – 4 – 7 – 3
Keeneland Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:04 PM ET, $49k Maiden Claiming, about 7 f on dirt, 12 Entries
- #12 SUMMONYOURCOURAGE (7-2): Top selection. Strategic runner, handles conditions well.
- #6 PAVED IN GOLD (15-1): Price horse. Likely for minor placings.
- #4 EIRIK RIDGE (4-1): Competitive. Expected to be in the mix late.
- #7 TRUE FAITH (8-1): Improving. Danger on the front end.
Selections: 12 – 6 – 4 – 7
Keeneland Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:12 PM ET, $300k Giant's Causeway S., 5 1/2 f on turf, 13 Entries
- #8 ROSES FOR DEBRA (4-1): Top selection. Class of the field under Clement's training and Ortiz's riding.
- #12 LOVE REIGNS (8-1): Competitive. Trained by Ward and ridden by Rosario.
- #4 OEUVRE (8-1): Competitive. Holds top overall power rating.
- #11 ELM DRIVE (7-2): Competitive.
Selections: 8 – 12 – 4 – 11
Keeneland Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:44 PM ET, $130k Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 1/16 m on dirt, 8 Entries
- #7 CLASSIC CATCH (2-1): Top selection. Runs good enough to beat the group, solid recent form.
- #3 FROSTED DEPARTURE (5-1): Competitive. Solid recent form.
- #2 TRANSECT (3-1): Contender. Makes sense on speed figures.
- #4 BRIGADIER GENERAL (10-1): Price horse. Solid recent form.
Selections: 7 – 3 – 2 – 4
Keeneland Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:16 PM ET, $600k Jenny Wiley S., 1 1/16 m on turf, 10 Entries
- #6 GINA ROMANTICA (3-1): Top selection. Strong early pace figures, trained by Brown and ridden by Gaffalione.
- #9 DIDIA (4-1): Competitive. Solid recent form, class of the field.
- #2 FLUFFY SOCKS (6-1): Competitive. Solid recent form, strong closing kick.
- #7 SURGE CAPACITY (5-1): Contender.
Selections: 6 – 9 – 2 – 7
Keeneland Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:48 PM ET, $400k Stonestreet Lexington S., 1 1/16 m on dirt, 10 Entries
Best Bet of the Card
- #5 HADES (7-2): Top selection. Tactical speed, competitive. Feels like they really want the Derby which may not be the same motivation for all these. Bet today's best Best Bet at BetUS.
- #2 THE WINE STEWARD (5-2): Competitive. Holds top overall power rating.
- #10 LUCKY JEREMY (8-1): Competitive. Solid recent form.
- #4 FOOTPRINT (10-1): Price horse. Solid recent form, handles conditions well.
Selections: 5 – 2 – 10 – 4
Keeneland Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:20 PM ET, $110k Allowance, 1 1/16 m on turf, 16 Entries
- #5 ROYAL MAJESTY (9-2): Major player. Shouldn't have trouble with the distance.
- #13 BREAK OUT (8-1): Top selection. Shouldn't have trouble with the distance, may benefit from hot pace.
- #9 MOONLIGHT (4-1): Competitive. Class of the field.
- #11 FRONTLINE WARRIOR (8-1): Competitive at a fair price.
Selections: 5 – 13 – 9 – 11
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Betting News provides AI generated handicapping tools for all of the major tracks around the country each and every day.
In addition, Betting News will continue to provide in depth analysis of select racing cards throughout the week.
Friday
- Keeneland picks featuring featuring the Grade 1 Maker's Mark Mile
Saturday
- Keeneland picks featuring the Grade 3 Lexington Stakes*
- Laurel Park picks featuring 4 stakes races
- Oaklawn Park picks featuring the Grade 1 Apple Blossom Stakes
Saturday
- Aqueduct picks featuring two New York Stallion Series stakes
*Denotes Kentucky Derby/Oaks Prep
Kentucky Derby Future Prop
Dornoch +750 on Bovada to win the Kentucky Derby
Bet on your favorite horse to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby today. Also, check out our analysis of the top of the market in the Derby futures wagers. Bet the Kentucky Derby future pool on Bovada.
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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