New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Picks & Odds

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Thursday Night Football: Patriots vs. Bears – NFL Expert Picks & Predictions (10/22)

Thursday Night Football: Patriots vs. Bears – NFL Expert Picks & Predictions (10/22) - Nate Hornung

Consensus Picks

New! The BN NFL Computer Picks analyzes each matchup using team performance ratings to project win probability, fair odds, score, spread and game totals.

BN Computer Picks

Projected Winner

New England Patriotsto win
Confidence
More information
Model confidence indicates the strength of the NFL model's prediction.
53%(Slight edge)
New England Patriots logo

New England Patriots

56.9%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

-132

Moneyline Edge

★ +82

Predicted Score

23.0

Model Spread

-1

Chicago Bears logo

Chicago Bears

43.1%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

+132

Moneyline Edge

—

Predicted Score

22.2

Model Spread

+1

Team Ratings

NE (Away)vsCHI (Home)

Strong79.9

Pass Offense

Above Avg60.1
Average48.8

Pass Defense

Average47.1
Average49.8

Rush Offense

Average43.0
Average44.1

Rush Defense

Average43.8
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

NFL ratings compare each team's passing and rushing offense and defense. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

NE

NE

CHI

CHI

5 - 3(12th)

1 - 2

Wins

Away/Home

(8th)5 - 3

3 - 1

4 - 2 - 2(17th)

1 - 1 - 1

ATS

Away/Home

(6th)5 - 3 - 0

3 - 1 - 0

5 - 3 - 0(8th)

1 - 2 - 0

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(25th)3 - 4 - 1

1 - 3 - 0

Offensive Stats

NE

NE

CHI

CHI
186
Points
217
19
Touchdowns
22
7.17
Yards per Play
7.17
1993
Passing Yards
2094
256
Pass Attempts
291
162
Pass Completions
192
12.30
Yards per Pass
10.91
14
Pass Touchdowns
8
1007
Rushing Yards
1132
252
Rush Attempts
259
4.00
Yards per Rush
4.37
5
Rushing Touchdowns
14
7
Interceptions
6
17
Sacks
19

Defensive Stats

NE

NE

CHI

CHI
184
Points
171
16
Touchdowns
18
7.28
Yards per Play
8.05
1826
Passing Yards
1878
260
Pass Attempts
235
168
Pass Completions
149
10.87
Yards per Pass
12.60
9
Pass Touchdowns
12
774
Rushing Yards
715
191
Rush Attempts
168
4.05
Yards per Rush
4.26
7
Rushing Touchdowns
6
6
Interceptions
6
17
Sacks
20

Last 5 Games

NENE

Result

ATS

Total

vs NYJ

W19 - 26

P-7.0

43

vs LV

W17 - 45

W-3.5

45

@ BUF

W29 - 26

W+7.0

50

@ JAX

L6 - 35

L+3.0

46

vs PIT

W3 - 20

W-5.5

41

CHICHI

Result

ATS

Total

@ ATL

W31 - 23

W-1.5

52

@ GB

L7 - 31

L-1.5

46

vs NYJ

W12 - 23

W-3.5

43

vs PHI

W7 - 27

W+4.5

41

vs MIN

L9 - 3

L-4.5

47

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