Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Picks & Odds

NFL - FINAL

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park

Pittsburgh Steelers logo
FINAL
Buffalo Bills logo
Pittsburgh Steelers
27
Buffalo Bills
28

Best Odds

Week 3 Preseason Thursday Night Football: Expert Picks in the NFL for August 27, 2026

Week 3 Preseason Thursday Night Football: Expert Picks in the NFL for August 27, 2026 - Nate Hornung

Consensus Picks

Weather Forecast

Not applicable
New! The BN NFL Computer Picks analyzes each matchup using team performance ratings to project win probability, fair odds, score, spread and game totals.

BN Computer Picks

Projected Winner

Buffalo Billsto win
Confidence
More information
Model confidence indicates the strength of the NFL model's prediction.
91%(Heavy favourite)
Pittsburgh Steelers logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

38.2%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

+162

Moneyline Edge

—

Predicted Score

22.6

Model Spread

+3.5

Buffalo Bills logo

Buffalo Bills

61.8%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

-162

Moneyline Edge

★ +12

Predicted Score

26.0

Model Spread

-3.5

Team Ratings

PIT (Away)vsBUF (Home)

Weak24.1

Pass Offense

Above Avg67.3
Above Avg60.2

Pass Defense

Weak21.3
Above Avg60.7

Rush Offense

Strong95.5
Above Avg58.1

Rush Defense

Average54.6
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

NFL ratings compare each team's passing and rushing offense and defense. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

PIT

PIT

BUF

BUF

6 - 3(8th)

2 - 2

Wins

Away/Home

(1st)7 - 1

3 - 1

6 - 3 - 0(6th)

2 - 2 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(1st)6 - 2 - 0

3 - 1 - 0

4 - 5 - 0(24th)

2 - 2 - 0

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(1st)6 - 1 - 1

2 - 1 - 1

Offensive Stats

PIT

PIT

BUF

BUF
208
Points
285
18
Touchdowns
30
7.42
Yards per Play
8.10
2215
Passing Yards
2012
336
Pass Attempts
226
210
Pass Completions
155
10.55
Yards per Pass
12.98
15
Pass Touchdowns
12
913
Rushing Yards
1182
214
Rush Attempts
236
4.27
Yards per Rush
5.01
3
Rushing Touchdowns
18
7
Interceptions
4
29
Sacks
16

Defensive Stats

PIT

PIT

BUF

BUF
192
Points
219
13
Touchdowns
24
6.66
Yards per Play
6.99
1990
Passing Yards
2065
300
Pass Attempts
299
197
Pass Completions
196
10.10
Yards per Pass
10.54
9
Pass Touchdowns
18
762
Rushing Yards
751
218
Rush Attempts
205
3.50
Yards per Rush
3.66
4
Rushing Touchdowns
6
7
Interceptions
6
25
Sacks
16

Last 5 Games

PITPIT

Result

ATS

Total

@ NO

W16 - 10

W-3.0

43.5

@ TB

W26 - 19

W-2.5

38

vs IND

W22 - 34

W-2.5

43

@ CLE

L24 - 27

L0

-

vs CIN

W27 - 30

W+3.5

42

BUFBUF

Result

ATS

Total

@ LV

W33 - 30

L-4.5

53

@ LAR

W37 - 34

W+1.5

-

vs NE

L29 - 26

L-7.0

50

vs LAC

W16 - 24

W-7.0

50

vs DET

W31 - 41

W-5.5

P72

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