San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Odds

MLB - FINAL

Wrigley Field, Chicago

San Diego Padres logo
FINAL
Chicago Cubs logo

San Diego Padres
1

Chicago Cubs
3

Best Odds

Padres vs. Cubs Game 1: Team Totals | September 30, 2025

Padres vs. Cubs Game 1: Team Totals | September 30, 2025 - Colby Marchio

Consensus Picks

New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Prediction Engine breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Prediction Engine

FINAL

Projected Winner

Chicago Cubsto win
Confidence
More information
Confidence is the model's estimated chance that its projected winner wins the game.
54.51%(Slight edge)
Rating edge
More information
Rating edge describes the gap between the teams based on the model's rating inputs, including pitching, bullpen, offense and defense.
Slight edge
San Diego Padres logo

San Diego Padres

45.5%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

+120

Starting Pitcher

Nick Pivetta

Chicago Cubs logo

Chicago Cubs

54.5%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

-120

Starting Pitcher

Matthew Boyd

Team Ratings

SD (Away)vsCHC (Home)

Above Avg63

Pitcher

Above Avg60
Above Avg70

Bullpen

Average50
Strong83

Defense

Strong89
Average45

Offense

Above Avg65
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

SD

SD

CHC

CHC

88 - 78(11th)

34 - 44

Wins

Away/Home

(6th)88 - 73

54 - 36

87 - 79 - 0(8th)

41 - 37 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(16th)79 - 81 - 1

46 - 44 - 0

69 - 81 - 16(25th)

32 - 39 - 7

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(7th)80 - 61 - 20

51 - 30 - 9

Batting Stats

SD

SD

CHC

CHC
4.33
Runs / Game
4.90
0.650
Stolen Bases / Game
0.990
0.940
Home Runs / Game
1.380
0.252
Batting Average
0.249
0.711
On Base %
0.750
0.390
Slugging %
0.430
1.100
OBPS
1.180

Fielding Stats

SD

SD

CHC

CHC
0.46
Errors / Game
0.37
0.987
Fielding %
0.989

Pitching Stats

SD

SD

CHC

CHC
0.225
Batting Average Against
0.239
0.370
Slugging % Against
0.401
0.977
On Base % Against
0.977
0.268
Strike Out %
0.235
0.639
Strike %
0.657
0.361
Ball %
0.343

Last 5 Games

SDSD

Result

ATS

Total

@ CHC

L1 - 3

L+1.5

7

@ CHC

W3 - 0

W+1.5

7

@ CHC

L1 - 3

L+1.5

6

vs ARI

W4 - 12

W-1.5

12

vs ARI

W1 - 5

W-1.5

7

CHCCHC

Result

ATS

Total

vs MIL

W0 - 6

W-1.5

P6

@ MIL

L3 - 7

L+1.5

7

@ MIL

L3 - 9

L+1.5

8

vs SD

W1 - 3

W-1.5

7

vs SD

L3 - 0

L-1.5

7

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