New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks & Odds

MLB - FINAL

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

New York Mets logo
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo

New York Mets
0

Philadelphia Phillies
1

Best Odds

Mets vs. Phillies: First Five Props | September 8, 2025

Mets vs. Phillies: First Five Props | September 8, 2025 - Colby Marchio

Consensus Picks

New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Prediction Engine breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Prediction Engine

FINAL

Projected Winner

New York Metsto win
Confidence
More information
Confidence is the model's estimated chance that its projected winner wins the game.
57.95%(Slight edge)
Rating edge
More information
Rating edge describes the gap between the teams based on the model's rating inputs, including pitching, bullpen, offense and defense.
Clear edge
New York Mets logo

New York Mets

58%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

-138

Starting Pitcher

Nolan McLean

Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

42%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

+138

Starting Pitcher

Aaron Nola

Team Ratings

NYM (Away)vsPHI (Home)

Strong85

Pitcher

Weak23
Average53

Bullpen

Above Avg56
Above Avg56

Defense

Average55
Above Avg66

Offense

Above Avg60
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

NYM

NYM

PHI

PHI

81 - 80(18th)

33 - 48

Wins

Away/Home

(3rd)97 - 67

55 - 25

75 - 86 - 0(25th)

37 - 44 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(6th)89 - 75 - 0

44 - 36 - 0

80 - 64 - 17(8th)

42 - 30 - 9

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(12th)80 - 69 - 15

42 - 31 - 7

Batting Stats

NYM

NYM

PHI

PHI
4.73
Runs / Game
4.80
0.910
Stolen Bases / Game
0.770
1.380
Home Runs / Game
1.310
0.249
Batting Average
0.258
0.753
On Base %
0.759
0.427
Slugging %
0.431
1.180
OBPS
1.190

Fielding Stats

NYM

NYM

PHI

PHI
0.49
Errors / Game
0.38
0.986
Fielding %
0.989

Pitching Stats

NYM

NYM

PHI

PHI
0.246
Batting Average Against
0.245
0.384
Slugging % Against
0.393
0.978
On Base % Against
0.981
0.254
Strike Out %
0.268
0.636
Strike %
0.649
0.364
Ball %
0.351

Last 5 Games

NYMNYM

Result

ATS

Total

@ MIA

L0 - 4

L-1.5

5

@ MIA

W5 - 0

W-1.5

8

@ MIA

L2 - 6

L-1.5

P8

@ CHC

W8 - 5

W+1.5

7

@ CHC

L3 - 10

L+1.5

7

PHIPHI

Result

ATS

Total

@ LAD

L1 - 2

W+1.5

8

vs LAD

L4 - 3

W+1.5

P7

vs LAD

L5 - 3

L-1.5

7

vs MIN

W1 - 2

L-1.5

5

vs MIN

L5 - 0

L-1.5

8

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