Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Picks & Odds

MLB - FINAL

Petco Park, San Diego

Pittsburgh Pirates logo
FINAL
San Diego Padres logo

Pittsburgh Pirates
2

San Diego Padres
3

Best Odds

Pirates vs. Padres: Odds & Predictions | May 30, 2025

Pirates vs. Padres: Odds & Predictions | May 30, 2025 - Colby Marchio

Consensus Picks

New! Want sharper MLB picks today? Our free BN Prediction Engine breaks down every matchup before first pitch to calculate win probability and project the likely winner. Whether you're hunting a strong edge or just validating your read on tonight's game, this is the fastest way to turn MLB betting predictions into confident decisions.

BN Prediction Engine

FINAL

Projected Winner

San Diego Padresto win
Confidence
More information
Confidence is the model's estimated chance that its projected winner wins the game.
61.81%(Clear edge)
Rating edge
More information
Rating edge describes the gap between the teams based on the model's rating inputs, including pitching, bullpen, offense and defense.
Clear edge
Pittsburgh Pirates logo

Pittsburgh Pirates

38.2%

BN Fair Odds

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

+162

Starting Pitcher

Mitch Keller

San Diego Padres logo

San Diego Padres

61.8%

More information
Fair odds are the odds implied by our prediction model. They are not sportsbook odds. They show what we think the price should be based on the projected win probability.

BN Fair Odds

-162

Starting Pitcher

Nick Pivetta

Team Ratings

PIT (Away)vsSD (Home)

Above Avg60

Pitcher

Strong71
Above Avg58

Bullpen

Above Avg68
Strong75

Defense

Strong86
Weak15

Offense

Average45
Weak (0–25)
Below Avg (25–40)
Average (40–55)
Above Avg (55–70)
Strong (70+)

Projection is based on current pitcher, bullpen, defense and offense ratings. Ratings are percentile-based from 0–100.

Betting Records

PIT

PIT

SD

SD

72 - 97(25th)

28 - 59

Wins

Away/Home

(11th)88 - 78

54 - 34

90 - 78 - 1(7th)

44 - 43 - 0

ATS

Away/Home

(8th)87 - 79 - 0

46 - 42 - 0

75 - 81 - 13(21st)

34 - 46 - 7

Ov / Un

Away/Home

(25th)69 - 81 - 16

37 - 42 - 9

Batting Stats

PIT

PIT

SD

SD
3.60
Runs / Game
4.33
0.710
Stolen Bases / Game
0.650
0.720
Home Runs / Game
0.940
0.231
Batting Average
0.252
0.655
On Base %
0.711
0.350
Slugging %
0.390
1.000
OBPS
1.100

Fielding Stats

PIT

PIT

SD

SD
0.48
Errors / Game
0.46
0.987
Fielding %
0.987

Pitching Stats

PIT

PIT

SD

SD
0.236
Batting Average Against
0.225
0.382
Slugging % Against
0.370
0.977
On Base % Against
0.977
0.245
Strike Out %
0.268
0.647
Strike %
0.639
0.353
Ball %
0.361

Last 5 Games

PITPIT

Result

ATS

Total

@ ATL

L1 - 4

L+1.5

7

@ ATL

W3 - 1

W+1.5

8

@ ATL

W9 - 3

W+1.5

8

@ CIN

L1 - 2

W+1.5

8

@ CIN

W4 - 3

W+1.5

8

SDSD

Result

ATS

Total

@ CHC

L1 - 3

L+1.5

7

@ CHC

W3 - 0

W+1.5

7

@ CHC

L1 - 3

L+1.5

6

vs ARI

W4 - 12

W-1.5

12

vs ARI

W1 - 5

W-1.5

7

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