Will Norway Be a Welcoming Host to Portugal? Expert Picks for Today’s Nations League Slate

BettingThePitch

Written by: BettingThePitch

Last Update: Sun Sep 27, 2026, 9:59 am ET

Read Time: 6 minutes

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What a day and what a match we had yesterday!

England vs. Spain certainly lived up to the hype, and we cashed all three of our plays from the game.

Spain got the party started early before England answered with two quick first half goals to take the lead. However, everything changed after Harry Kane missed his opportunity from the penalty spot.

That miss seemed to give Spain new life.

From there, the Spaniards scored twice more and eventually walked away with a thrilling 3-2 victory.

More importantly for us, the goals kept coming and our player props delivered as well.

Now, we turn our attention to another slate featuring some of the biggest countries in the world.

I have two matchups that stand out today, so let's get into the plays!

Head over to our Soccer Picks Page for our expert's soccer analysis, or read my best bets below.

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Featured Plays

Germany vs. Greece

How will Klopp and the Germans fare at home in this matchup against Greece?

We get our second look at Germany under Jurgen Klopp today.

More importantly, this will be Klopp's first opportunity to manage the national team on home soil.

With essentially 44 players split between two squads during this break, there will naturally be plenty of rotation. Therefore, we should continue seeing different combinations and players getting opportunities throughout the tournament.

Germany looked good in their first match under Klopp, especially considering it came on the road against the Netherlands.

However, the performance certainly wasn't perfect.

Germany still conceded plenty of quality chances, which isn't surprising under a new manager. There will be growing pains as players adjust to Klopp's style and his aggressive system.

Marc-Andre ter Stegen was outstanding in that opening match.

Without him, the Netherlands probably score two or three goals based on the chances they created.

That's important when looking at today's total.

Still, I think this is an excellent matchup for Germany to find plenty of attacking success.

Greece sit 34 places below Germany in the FIFA rankings. Additionally, they can struggle against teams that press aggressively and constantly apply pressure.

That should play directly into what Klopp wants Germany to become.

Germany have also been extremely comfortable going forward at home.

They've scored at least twice in each of their last five matches played in Germany. Now, they get their first home match under a manager who wants his teams attacking relentlessly.

However, I don't expect Greece to simply roll over.

There's enough quality in this squad to cause Germany some problems. More importantly, Greece have shown they can score against strong opposition when given opportunities.

Their biggest issue has been defending away from home.

Greece are allowing around two goals per road match, which is dangerous against this German attack.

On the other side, the defensive miscommunication Germany showed against the Netherlands gives Greece a path to contribute.

If the visitors can find one goal, I really like our chances of clearing this number.

That's also why I played Over 3 rather than laying a worse price elsewhere.

A three goal match gives us our money back, while four gets us to the window.

Ultimately, I think Germany could clear this total themselves. However, one goal from Greece would put us in an excellent position.

Give me goals in Klopp's home debut.

Play: Germany vs. Greece Over 3 Goals (-130)

Norway vs. Portugal

This is a massive matchup!

Erling Haaland and this high-powered Norwegian attack welcome Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal.

It doesn't get much better than that.

There is some uncertainty surrounding Bruno Fernandes, who is dealing with an injury. Therefore, we'll have to see whether he starts or is even available off the bench.

Either way, I don't think that changes what I want to target.

I'm backing Norway to score goals.

The Norwegians have scored at least twice in five of their last seven matches. More importantly, they become an entirely different attacking team when playing at home.

Norway are averaging nearly three goals per home match and consistently increase the tempo in front of their supporters.

Then, of course, there's Haaland.

There has been some outside noise surrounding Manchester City and Haaland entering this international window. Naturally, you wonder whether that becomes a distraction.

However, once he steps onto the pitch for his country, I'm not overly concerned about it.

This is a massive match at home against Portugal.

I expect Haaland to do what Haaland does.

Of course, this won't be an easy match for Norway.

Portugal may not have dominated opponents recently, but this is still an extremely talented squad.

However, their back line enters this matchup missing some important pieces.

Portugal also allowed three big chances against Wales in their last match. During the World Cup, they conceded around three big chances per game as well.

You simply can't give Norway that many opportunities.

This attack doesn't need eight or nine great chances to punish you. With Haaland leading the line, one defensive mistake can turn into a goal instantly.

Additionally, Norway enter this match in excellent form and should play aggressively at home.

I expect Portugal to create chances on the other end as well. Both teams have elite attacking talent, while neither back line completely convinces me.

That combination could produce another entertaining match.

Ultimately, though, I prefer isolating Norway's attack rather than playing the full-game total.

They're in form, they're at home, and they have the best pure goalscorer in world football leading the line.

At this price, I like Norway to find the back of the net at least twice.

Play: Norway Team Total Over 1.5 Goals (-110)

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BettingThePitch
BettingThePitch

Just a guy who loves sports, soccer and beating the books!

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