Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Best Bets: NCAA Football Expert Picks (10/29)
Written by: Nate Hornung
Published: Thu Oct 29, 2026, 10:40 am ET
Read Time: 4 minutes
ncaaf
Spread
Total
Moneyline
+14.0
-105
78
-110u
+410
Spread
Total
Moneyline
-14.0
-110
77.5
-105o
-530
There are a couple of NCAA Football matchups on Thursday Night, both featuring spreads that are over two touchdowns. Earlier, in the Sun Belt, the James Madison Dukes look to bounce back as 20 point favorites over the Troy Trojans at home. I think they get the job done. But we will focus on the action in the American Conference, as the North Texas Mean Green lay over two touchdowns at home against the Florida Atlantic Owls. Get our expert picks in this contest below.
Check out the best odds on the market and tons of picks for the NCAA Football Season.
NCAA Football Expert Insights: Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Green
Tayven Jackson and North Texas host the 5-2 Florida Atlantic Owls tonight
Tonight we have two 5-2 teams going at it. The Mean Green are 3-0 in conference play, suffering losses this year to Indiana and Texas State, both on the road. As for the Owls, they are 2-1 in the American, losing their opener to Florida, and then to Army just a couple of games ago.
However, both are coming off a win in their most recent contest. Will North Texas be able to cover this larger number? Or will the Owls surprise some people and make their case for the best team in the conference? While I do think Florida Atlantic can cover this spread while going over the total, I've turned to the player prop market to get some coin back on Day 29 of betting on football for 61 straight.
Matchup Information – Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas – October 29
- Venue & Location: DATCU Stadium (Denton, TX)
- Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
- Kick Off: 7:30 p.m. Eastern
- Broadcast: ESPN
Owls vs. Mean Green Betting Odds
Odds listed are from BetOnline as of Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:15 a.m. eastern.
Spread
- Florida Atlantic +14.5 (-115)
- North Texas -14.5 (-105)
Moneyline
- Florida Atlantic +409
- North Texas -540
Total
- Over 77 (-116)
- Under 77 (-104)
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: NCAA Football Expert Picks
Back Caden Veltkamp to throw the ball plenty tonight against North Texas
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Prediction: North Texas Wins and Covers, Over 77
Best Bets: Caden Veltkamp Over 41.5 Pass Attempts (+100) BetOnline
Back the FAU quarterback to sling the pill at least 42 times in this contest. Let's break it down. Veltkamp has only cleared this line twice this season, so why on Earth is it so high? The man only averages about 37.1 pass attempts per game, so we are essentially needing five more than average in this spot.
But look at those two games where the Owls lost. In those contests, Veltkamp threw the ball 52 times against Florida, and 48 times against Army, clearing this number with ease. Point being, when FAU plays from behind, they throw the ball a lot more. Tonight, as two touchdowns underdogs, I would expect them to air it out plenty.
FAU struggles on the run, ranking bottom five in yards per carry. But through the air, this team is top 25 in pass play percentage, top four in pass plays per game, and third in completion percentage. They will rely heavily on Veltkamp's arm on Thursday night. As for the North Texas secondary, they are bottom 20 in yards per pass allowed, making me think FAU should have some success through the air. Regardless, Veltkamp will be airing it out.
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Nate has been a recreational sports bettor for about 5 years. In that time, he has grown to love the pursuit of winners and sticking it to The Man. Nate loves data and uses his understanding of numbers to help him be a more profitable sports gambler, however he will be the first to tell you this game is about more than just stats.
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