<p>Sole possession of first place in the Mountain West Conference will be on the line tonight as #22 San Diego State (17-5, 8-2 Mountain West) and Boise State (18-5, 8-2 Mountain West) meet at Viejas Arena (9:00 pm ET, FS1).</p>
<p>The Aztecs are looking to get back on track tonight after Tuesday’s 75-66 loss at Nevada on Tuesday. </p>
<p>It was a disappointing loss for SDSU, but it helps the conference, as it boosts the Wolf Pack’s (17-6, 7-3 Mountain West) hopes of landing an NCAA Tournament berth and therefore the conference’s chances of being a four or five-bid league. </p>
<p>A win tonight may or may not keep the Aztecs in next week’s rankings, but it will send them into next Wednesday’s visit to Utah State (18-5, 7-3 Mountain West).</p>
<p>Will the Aztecs end tonight all alone atop the conference? Read on for our Boise State vs San Diego State basketball prediction and picks.</p>
<h2 id="at7oq">Boise State vs San Diego State Odds</h2>
<p><strong><em>Odds are via <a href="/best-online-sportsbooks/betonline/">BetOnline</a> as of Friday, February 3, 2023, at 4:10 pm ET. This article may also include odds from our other recommended <a href="/legal/">legal sports betting sites</a>.</em></strong></p>
<h3 id="eql0r">Spread</h3>
<ul>
<li>Boise State +5.5 (-102)</li>
<li>San Diego State -5.5 (-120)</li>
</ul>
<h3 id="2vppb">Over/Under</h3>
<ul>
<li>Over 134.5 (-110)</li>
<li>Under 134.5 (-110)</li>
</ul>
<h3 id="3mqbg">Moneyline</h3>
<ul>
<li>Boise State +215</li>
<li>San Diego State -265</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="77a5d">Can Boise State Stifle San Diego State’s Scoring?</h2>
<p>Tuesday’s loss in Reno was just the fifth time in 22 games this season that the Aztecs failed to reach the 70-point mark. </p>
<p>Throughout this season, I have noted San Diego State’s vastly improved offensive output, so this is just another instance of me rattling off tidbits about that impressive improvement. </p>
<p>Last season, SDSU scored 70 or more points only a dozen times in 32 games. That they have eclipsed that number by five already this season is no small feat.</p>
<p>What’s also notable is that they have failed to score 70+ points in consecutive games only once this season, when they defeated Troy 60-55 then lost 68-61 at Saint Mary’s.</p>
<p>The Gaels are one of the eight teams that rank higher in adjusted defensive efficiency (at KenPom) than the Broncos, who are the Mountain West’s highest-rated team in that department. </p>
<p>Since an 81-79 overtime loss at New Mexico two weeks ago, the Broncos have given up 53, 59, and 52 points in wins over Fresno State, Colorado State, and Air Force. </p>
<p>But they are in for a real challenge tonight against the Aztecs, who rank second in the conference, behind only Utah State, in adjusted offensive efficiency.</p>
<p>The Aztecs, who enter tonight’s game shooting 45.6% from the field, have yet to shoot under 45% in back-to-back games in conference play and have done so only twice all season. </p>
<p>If they can reach even that number against Boise State, they will likely be in a strong position, as the Broncos are 1-3 this season when the opposition shoots at least 45% from the field.</p>
<h2 id="1m3kn">Boise State vs San Diego State Prediction and Picks</h2>
<p><strong>BSU vs SDSU Prediction:</strong> San Diego State to win</p>
<p><strong>BSU vs SDSU Pick:</strong> San Diego State team total over 70.5 (Best Value: <a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/bovada/">Bovada Sportsbook</a>) &amp; Boise State/San Diego State first half over 62.5 (Best Value: <a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/betonline/">BetOnline</a>)</p>
<p>The Broncos are certainly difficult to break down, but the Aztecs are equipped to do so. </p>
<p>Hitting the 70-point mark has become quite the habit for San Diego State, and after an off night at Nevada earlier this week, I expect them to find their form tonight to dispatch Boise State in this first-place battle.</p>
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