Nuggets vs Timberwolves NBA Game 3 Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (5/10): Will Denver Show Signs of Life?

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Game 3 predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from the NBA playoffs to the UFC odds and everything in between.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will eye a 3-0 series lead when they host the defending champion Denver Nuggets for Game 3 at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 10.

The first series of the Conference Semifinals tips off tomorrow night with the Minnesota Timberwolves visiting the Denver Nuggets on @NBAonTNT at 7:00 PM ET.

Games 1-4 schedule ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/7flbcz86IQ

— NBA Communications (@NBAPR) May 3, 2024

Game 2 was another one-sided affair as the Timberwolves notched a 106-80 win over the Nuggets. Denver had no answer for Minnesota as Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards each racked up 27 points while Naz Reid and Nickeil Alexander-Walker combined for 28 points off the bench.

Can Minnesota put the defending champs in an even bigger hole? Or will Denver finally show some signs of life with a win?

Let's answer those questions while discussing some of the best NBA bets by diving into my Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions and picks.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves NBA Betting Tonight (5/10)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3 Information

• Matchup: No. 2 Denver Nuggets vs. No. 3 Minnesota Timberwolves (MIN leads 2-0)
• Venue & Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)
• Date: Friday, May 10, 2024
• Game Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3: ESPN

Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Game 3 Betting Odds & Spread

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, May 9 at 1:03 p.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread

• Denver Nuggets +4.5 (-110)
• Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-110)

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over/Under

• Over 204.5 Points (-110)
• Under 204.5 Points (-110)

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Moneyline

• Denver Nuggets (+160)
• Minnesota Timberwolves (-180)

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves NBA Betting Trends

• Denver is 10-4 straight up in its last 14 road games.
• Minnesota is 6-1 straight up in its last seven home games.
• Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games vs. Minnesota.
• Minnesota is 6-0 ATS in its last six games.
• The total hit the Under in six of Denver's last seven games.
• The total hit the Under in four of Minnesota's last six games vs. Denver.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Predictions & NBA Picks Today (5/10)

When this series began, people would've laughed if you told them that the Nuggets would be down 2-0 after the first two games. Nevertheless, here we are and the Timberwolves have the opportunity to take a 3-0 lead with a win on Friday.

Scoring has been the Nuggets' main issue since this series began. They've been held to just 89.5 points per game thus far while shooting 40.5% from the floor and 36.1% from the three-point line. Denver's best two players — Jamal Murray and newly-crowned MVP Nikola Jokic — have struggled to shoot the ball, averaging .281/.250/1.000 and .421/.200/1.000 shooting splits, respectively.

And even though the Nugget shave held the T-wolves to a 106.0 PPG clip, they've had no answers for Anthony Edwards. The budding superstar has been near-unstoppable, averaging 35.0 PPG while shooting 60.9% from the floor.

That's without mentioning how Karl-Anthony Towns is also averaging 23.5 PPG with a 64.3 FG% and 55.6 3P%.

Nikola Jokic, the 2023-24 NBA MVP, must find a way to elevate his game if the Nuggets are to get back into this series. 

While playing on the road is never easy, especially against a team like the Timberwolves, the Nuggets are a solid 10-4 SU across their last 14 road games.

On the flip side, the Timberwolves own a 6-1 SU record across their last seven home outings, outscoring those opponents by an average of 12.1 PPG. And not only is Minnesota 5-2 SU in its last seven home games against Denver but it also covered the spread in six of those meetings.

The Timberwolves will likely have a boost in the form of Rudy Gobert, who was named the 2023-24 Defensive Player of the Year earlier this week. Gobert previously sat out of Game 3 due to his wife giving birth to their first child. Meanwhile, Monte Morris is questionable with a finger injury.

As for the Nuggets, Reggie Jackson is their only designation. The veteran guard exited Game 2 with an ankle injury, meaning he'll likely be a game-time decision on Friday.

The Timberwolves will likely have 2023-24 DPOY Rudy Gobert back in the lineup for Game 3. 

As much as I can't imagine the Nuggets being swept, I'm taking the Timberwolves to win again. Minnesota has done a fantastic job at silencing Denver's top players and now has the benefit of playing in front of a Target Center crowd. It's officially the Timberwolves' series to lose and I think they're confident enough to take the 3-0 lead.

For the best bet, we'll take Minnesota as the 5-point favorite. The Timberwolves have outscored the Nuggets by a 16.5 PPG clip to begin this series on top of their being 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between these teams. That's without mentioning how the T-wolves are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against the Jokic & Co.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Game 3 Prediction: MIN wins

Best Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Bet: MIN -5 (-110)

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Best Timberwolves vs Nuggets NBA Game 3 Prop Bet (5/10)

While most people will look to the likes of Nikola Jokic and Anthony Edwards for a prop pick, we're taking Naz Reid to record 2+ threes made (-106).

Reid has been having a career season from deep and his latest stretch further emphasizes that. The ex-LSU Tiger is averaging 1.9 threes made on 39.5% shooting across his last eight games, finishing with at least a pair of three-pointers six times — including four in Game 2. Additionally, the Over is 3-1 in his last four outings at Target Center.

Having hit the Over in back-to-back games to begin this series, you won't want to ignore this Reid prop.

Best Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Prop Bet: Naz Reid to Record 2+ Threes Made (-106)

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