Mavericks vs. Suns Prediction, Picks & Props for Game 5: Back Suns, the Over
The 2021-22 NBA Western Conference Semifinals continue on Tuesday, May 10 with Game 5 of the Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns series.
After the Suns began the series with a 2-0 lead, the Mavericks have since clawed their way back. A 111-101 victory for Dallas on Sunday has evened the series up at two games apiece, leaving the Mavs looking for even more momentum as things shift back to Phoenix.
Meanwhile, the Suns must figure out a way to re-establish their dominance after back-t0-back losses. Considering how they averaged just 97.5 PPG in Games 3 and 4, it’s safe to say that the offense coming to life would be one way to take control of things.
Can the Mavericks take the 3-2 lead with their third straight victory? Or will the Suns remind everyone of just how good they can be in front of their hometown crowd?
#4 Dallas Mavericks vs. #1 Phoenix Suns Game 5 Betting Odds and Matchup Information
- Game Matchup: #4 Dallas Mavericks (52-30, #4 seed in the Western Conference) vs. #1 Phoenix Suns (64-18 #1 seed in the Western Conference)
- Venue & Location: Footprint Center (Phoenix, Arizona)
- Date: Tuesday, May 10, 2022
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Mavericks vs. Suns Game 5: TNT
Suns vs. Mavericks Game 5 Betting Odds
Odds are via our top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks.
- Spread: Dallas Mavericks +6 (-106), Phoenix Suns -6 (-114)
- Total: OVER 213.5 (-110), UNDER 213.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks +210, Phoenix Suns -255
- Spread: Dallas Mavericks +6 (-110), Phoenix Suns -6 (-110)
- Total: OVER 213 (-110), UNDER 213 (-110)
- Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks +210, Phoenix Suns -260
- Spread: Dallas Mavericks +6.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns -6.5 (-110)
- Total: OVER 213 (-110), UNDER 213 (-110)
- Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks +225, Phoenix Suns -278
Mavericks Look to Continue Momentum
A lot of people were already counting the Mavericks out after the Suns took the 2-0 lead in the series. However, Dallas continues to show that it shouldn’t be underestimated this postseason.
If the Mavs are to continue their momentum, they’re going to need their supporting cast to keep on stepping up when it counts.
A perfect example of this is Dorian Finney-Smith in Game 4, dropping 24 points of which all of his made shots were three-points (8-of-12, .667 3P%). Before that showing, his highest point total of the postseason had been 18.
The trio of Maxi Kleber, Spencer Dinwiddie and Davis Bertans combined for 33 points off the bench while shooting 11-of-23 (.478) from the field. Even though that isn’t the most efficient field-goal percentage, the Mavericks as a team only shot .447 from the field that game.
The Mavericks can also continue their momentum if Luka Doncic can have a “bounce-back” performance.
After averaging 40.0 PPG on .538/.429/.789 shooting in the first two games of the series, he averaged 26.0 PPG on .400/.176/.692 splits in the subsequent two. Considering how well Doncic played in Phoenix before, perhaps a return to the Footprint Center tonight will help him get back on track.
Suns Must Be More Disciplined to Succeed
The Suns looked like a completely different team in the first two games of the series compared to the last two. Now, they must find the discipline to get back to being the club that they were at the start.
For starters, Phoenix is going to need Chris Paul to make his presence felt. The 37-year-old has been relatively quiet this series when it comes to his playmaking, averaging 5.5 assists so far. On top of that, he’s only scored a combined 17 points in his last two games.
Furthermore, Paul has been catching the officials’ attention recently, racking up 10 fouls over the last two matchups — including six in Game 4 that resulted in his ejection after just 23 minutes of action.
In total, the Suns out-fouled the Mavericks, 25-21 in Game 4 while having four of their starting five players (including Paul) finishing the night with at least four fouls.
It also makes it tough to win when top players like Mikal Bridges and Deandre Ayton are only combining for 20 points on 10-of-21 shooting.
It wasn’t all gloom for Phoenix last game, though. Devin Booker continues to look like his old self, piling up 35 points while shooting .455 from the field. He did have five turnovers and was a minus-12, but it was an otherwise positive performance.
The Suns also outrebounded the Mavericks (44-37), so continuing to do that gives them a good chance to win any NBA Playoff game.
Mavericks vs. Suns Game 5 Prediction and Best Bets
Prediction: Suns 119, Mavericks 105
The Suns looked like the better team in both of the first two games at the Footprint Center and a return home should help them get things back on track. Look for Phoenix to re-establish control tonight.
Best Prop Pick for Suns vs. Mavericks Game 5
- Dorian Finney-Smith Over 12.5 Points (+104 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
As mentioned before, Finney-Smith had a game to remember and I like his chances of keeping the momentum going tonight.
The 29-year-old veteran has actually hit the over on this prop in five of his last six games. In fact, he’s done so in all but two of his 10 games played this postseason.
The Mavericks tend to run with the hot hand and that’s the definition of what Finney-Smith is right now.
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