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Free MLB Best Bets Today: Sunday, Sunday, Sunday on the Diamond!
Written by: Nate Hornung
Last Updated:
Read Time: 5 minutes
The MLB is back today with games across the entire league! We’re here to bring you our best bets in tonight’s games!
Here is how we did on the Diamond last season.
- MLB 2023 YTD Record: 189-176
- Units Gained: +25.07u
Now as last year was my first year seriously capping MLB, those were all 0.5u bets. This year, since we saw a bit of success, we will be betting everything MLB this year for a 1u flat bet, meaning I will risk 1u no matter the juice.
Here are tonight’s Best MLB Bets for Sunday, May 12th!
Listed above are my favorite bets of the evening. Be sure to click on the links for some deposit bonuses at some of our favorite sportsbooks, and keep reading further for the analysis on the bets!
Best MLB Bets Tonight
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OK, let’s dive in!
Two Team ML Parlay (+131)
Zack Wheeler struck out 11 batters in his last start
- Philadelphia Phillies ML (-235)
- Cleveland Guardians ML (-162)
Best Bet: Phillies/Guardians ML Parlay (+131) BetOnline
We are getting the best line on the market for both of these squads to beat their inferior opponent on the road today.
Zack Wheeler starts for the Phillies against the Marlins, and do I really have to say more? The 28-12 Phillies are 13-5 on the road, and Wheeler has a sub 1.00 WHIP in 8 starts this season. Amongst MLB pitchers, Wheeler is 3rd in ERA and Strikeouts, and 7th in WHIP. He’s coming off a start where he struck out 11 batters and gave up an unearned run on just 4 hits and a walk.
In his L4 starts, Wheeler has a 0.36 ERA, a 0.76 WHIP, and is striking out 1.31 batters per inning. The Phillies have won 9 of their L10 and are looking like serious World Series contenders so far this season. I’ll back them again tonight against the Marlins and Braxton Garrett who is making his first start of the year.
I’ll pair them with the Guardians on the road against who? None other than the Chicago White Sox. We are fading them once again. The Guardians are in danger of getting swept by the White Sox but today it’s Logan Allen against Michael Soroka. Allen is looking for redemption, as early this year against the Sox, he allowed 5 runs on 7 hits in just 4 innings in a loss.
On the other side, Soroka pitched in that same game, allowed 4 runs on 4 hits and 3 walks in just 3.2 innings. That game was a month ago, and while Allen has certainly looked better, Soroka has not. He’s allowed at least 2 runs in every single start this season, he’s given up a home run in 7 of 8 starts, and I expect the Guardians bats to finally come alive.
Two heavy road favorites for plus money, what could go wrong?
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Best Bets
Josh Naylor absolutely rips the ball against Chicago in his career
Best Bet: Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) BetOnline
As well as backing the Guardians, we are going to back Naylor as well. He has fantastic history against Soroka in a small sample size, but loves playing the White Sox.
For starters, Naylor has cleared this line in 47% of games, and 5/6 against the White Sox this season. In those 6 games, Naylor has 22 total bases with 4 singles, 1 double, and 4 home runs, and 6 total RBIs. Now, he’s also on a 16 game hitting streak against the White Sox, and has hits in 27 of his L30 against Chicago. Naylor has hits in his last 12 straight games at Guaranteed Rate Field, clearing his bases in 11 of his L16 against the Sox, and 11 of his L17 in Chicago.
Did you keep up with all those numbers?
The point is, Naylor loves playing this team, and that’s been very clear this season. I think he helps lead the Guardians to a victory tonight. Naylor has seen Soroka twice this season, and homered off him last game. Sprinkle on him to go yard.
Best MLB Bets Today: 5/11/2024
Phillies/Guardians ML Parlay (+131)
Two heavy road favorites. Zack Wheeler starts for the Phillies and has ridiculous numbers all year, and especially in his last 4 starts. A Cy Young candidate on a World Series contender, we will back the Phillies and pair them with Cleveland who is in danger of getting swept by the White Sox. I think the Guardians bats shell Michael Soroka again, and Cleveland goes home with a victory.
Josh Naylor (CLE) Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Staying with Cleveland, I love Naylor to do his job. He has hits in 27/L30 against Chicago, a 16 game hitting streak against them, and he’s homered 4 times this season alone against the White Sox, and once against Soroka. I think Naylor’s bat stays hot as he leads the Guardians to a much needed win in Chicago this afternoon.
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