Saratoga Picks: Troy Stakes Analysis (8/9/2026)
Written by: Chris Adams
Published: Sun Aug 09, 2026, 7:00 am ET
Read Time: 7 minutes
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The racing action from Saratoga on Sunday features the Troy Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Saratoga picks for the entire card!
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Saratoga Full Card Analysis
Saratoga Picks: Troy Stakes Analysis (8/9/2026)
Saratoga Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 1:10 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $115k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 5 runners.
- #3 POISE (2-1): Top Pick. Favorable class relief in this spot. Race sets up perfectly.
- #1 GLOW OF A ROSE (2-1): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 FROLICKING (9-5): Major Player. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance. The 84 speed rating is among the best in the field.
- #4 CHESTNUT (6-1): Underneath. Race conditions fit this one well. Race shape gives this one an edge.
Selections: 3 – 1 – 2 – 4
The Plays
Win: #3 at 7-5
Exacta Box: 3,1
Saratoga Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:43 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $115k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #1 HOUSING MARKET (7-2): Top Pick. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #3 PAY THE PIPER (3-1): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Franco puts this one in with a chance.
- #9 COMMITMENT FUND (8-5): Contender. Should step forward from the first start. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown.
- #2 FELINE CURIOUS (9-2): Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.
Selections: 1 – 3 – 9 – 2
The Plays
Win: #1 at 3-1
Exacta: 1 / 3,2
Saratoga Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 2:16 PM ET; Claiming $43k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 11 runners.
- #3 ROYAL BOBBIE (2-1): Top Pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #10 BELLE CHERIE (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #6 CARARRA (6-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #2 BOBBY JEAN (5-1): Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.
Selections: 3 – 10 – 6 – 2
The Plays
Win: #3 at 7-5
Exacta: 3 / 10,6,2
Saratoga Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:50 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $52k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #6 JUST CLASSIC (2-1): Prime Win Player. Stamina to outlast the competition. Strong early pace figs.
- #7 CAPT FLUFF N STUFF (9-2): Contender. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Trainer is having a great meet.
- #5 NORDIC FYRE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
- #1 CLASSIC ROCK (10-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Should still have enough in the reserves if there in the final furlong.
Selections: 6 – 7 – 5 – 1
The Plays
Win: #6 at 7-5
Exacta: 6 / 7,5,1
Saratoga Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 3:24 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $115k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.
- #14 BEACH LIFE (5-1): Longshot Play of the Day. Solid breeding for this spot. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
- #8 ALL STAR LEIGH (5-2): Major Player. Comes home strong. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #13 SWEET GRACE (12-1): Fringe Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Previous success in similar race types.
- #4 SAINT DYMPHNA (6-1): Underneath. Shouldn't be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 14 – 8 – 13 – 4
The Plays
Win: #14 at 5-1
Trifecta: 14 / 8,13 / 8,13,4
Saratoga Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:59 PM ET; Claiming $55k; 1 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.
- #1 CAPRICIOUS OUTCOME (5-2): Prime Win Player. Stamina to outlast the competition. Top connections on the circuit with Prat and Brown.
- #5 LAWYER MASON (10-1): Contender. Running well of late. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
- #10 I CAN SEE THAT (10-1): Fringe Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
- #12 PAUL'S RECOVERY (2-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 1 – 5 – 10 – 12
The Plays
Win: #1 at 2-1
Exacta: 1 / 5,10
Saratoga Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 4:34 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $71k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #5 ROSE TO RICHES (3-1): Top Pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Favorable class relief in this spot.
- #7 LIL TIPSY (3-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
- #6 CARA FIORE (9-2): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #1 IMMACULATE MOON (5-2): Major Player. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Trainer's horses have been running.
Selections: 5 – 7 – 6 – 1
The Plays
Win: #5 at 5-2
Exacta: 5 / 7,6,1
Saratoga Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 5:09 PM ET; Troy Stakes $300k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 9 runners.
- #2 TWENTY SIX BLACK (5-2): Top Pick. Barn has been solid. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #7 WORKS FOR ME (8-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #8 REZASROLEX (10-1): Contender. This one's a fighter in the late stages. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #3 DONCHO (3-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 2 – 7 – 8 – 3
The Plays
Win: #2 at 2-1
Pick 3 (Races 8-10): #2,7 with #2 with #5,8
Exacta: 2 / 7,3
Saratoga Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 5:44 PM ET; Allowance $105k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #2 MO FOR THE KING (5-2): Best Bet of the Card. Could be ready for a top effort. Proven competitor at this configuration. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #1 TRICKY BUSINESS (5-1): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Potentially cycling to a top performance.
- #6 MAX MONEY (4-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Should sit a good trip.
- #8 EMPIRE SKY (12-1): Contender. Could be grinding down the competition late. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 2 – 1 – 6 – 8
The Plays
Win: #2 at 1-1
Exacta: 2 / 1,6
Saratoga Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 6:19 PM ET; Starter Optional Claiming $78k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.
- #5 CIAO CHUCK (7-2): Top Pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #8 HARD CIRCLE (9-2): Major Player. Good race flow for this runner. Prat puts this one in with a chance.
- #2 GUN BARREL CITY (6-1): Major Player. Potential to kick home late. Speed figs match up nicely.
- #1 THE PADDOCK PASTOR (8-1): Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.
Selections: 5 – 8 – 2 – 1
The Plays
Win: #5 at 3-1
Exacta: 5 / 8,2,1
Saratoga Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:54 PM ET; Allowance $120k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 10 runners.
- #9 BOSUN (7-2): Top Pick. Race sets up perfectly. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
- #6 SHIRL'S SOUL TOWN (9-2): Major Player. Can run with these. Looks to get a bit easier group here.
- #5 MISSION IMPROBABLE (6-1): Major Player. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish. Potential to kick home late.
- #10 ORTLEY AVENUE (6-1): Major Player. Could be grinding down the competition late. Trainer's horses have been running.
Selections: 9 – 6 – 5 – 10
The Plays
Win: #9 at 3-1
Exacta: 9 / 6,5,10
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Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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