Forbidden Kingdom and Messier are entered in the Santa Anita Derby. Seven of the last 10 horses to cross the Kentucky Derby wire first ran a prep at Santa Anita Park.
Santa Anita Derby Analysis
Santa Anita Park Race 6
Post: 2:45 PM PT; Purse: $750,000 RUNHAPPY Santa Anita Derby, 1 1/8 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 6
Messier cruises over the Santa Anita dirt. Image courtesy of Blood Horse.
#4 MESSIER (1-1) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & record at the distance.
#3 FORBIDDEN KINGDOM (6-5) has to be respected today edging the field in several key handicapping factors including class & form. The slight break in training due to illness is a concern.
#6 TAIBA (4-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & breeding. In a crop that is still begging for the emergence of a superstar, this one may have the most potential.
#1 HAPPY JACK (20-1) is fine underneath but would be a surprise in the winner's circle.
Selections: 4-3-6-1
Saturday Full Undercard Analysis
Santa Anita Park Race 1
Post: 12:00 PM PT; Purse: $200,000 Monrovia S., About 6 1/2 Furlongs on Downhill turf; Entries: 6
#1 ALICE MARBLE (2-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse's connections & power rating.
#6 ROYAL ADDRESS (6-1) is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & pace numbers.
#2 TOBYS HEART (5-2) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & form.
#3 BROOKE MARIE (7-2) looks competitive in this spot as well.
Selections: 1-6-2-3
Santa Anita Park Race 2
Post: 12:30 PM PT; Purse: $150,000 Echo Eddie S., 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 5
#4 SMUGGLER'S RUN (6-5) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & power rating.
#3 WHAT IN BLAZES (7-2) is worth a look here given edges in class & power rating.
#5 FINNEUS (5-2) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.
#2 MOOSE MITCHELL (4-1) is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & pace numbers.
#1 BIG NOVEL (3-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in stamina & class.
#2 CONNIE SWINGLE (9-5) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & form.
#9 YOUTEYOURHONOR (8-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & pace numbers.
#8 EVERLYS GIRL (8-1) is an outsider but rates out well enough to at least get a second look in this spot.
Selections: 1-2-9-8
Santa Anita Park Race 11
Post: 5:22 PM PT; Purse: $72,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, About 6 1/2 Furlongs on Downhill turf; Entries: 11
#7 BURNIN TURF (4-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse's record at the distance & power rating.
#6 GREGDAR (8-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & form.
#8 ANACONDA (5-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & race flow.
#1 COULTHARD (6-1) has a power rating that suggests he could be competitive with this group.
Selections: 7-6-8-1
Santa Anita Park Race 12
Post: 5:52 PM PT; Purse: $39,000 Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile on Turf; Entries: 13
#3 MONGOLIAN NINJA (30-1) is my longshot of the day. This group has no one of elite caliber so I'll take a shot with a bomb from a good barn.
#4 TODAY MATTERS (3-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed & pace numbers.
#7 HULK (6-1) is worth a look here given edges in race flow & power rating.
#13 MO THEM DOWN (4-1) looks good enough to win but the post is dreadful for a non-winner.
Selections: 3-4-7-13
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Chris Adams
Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.
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