Parx Tuesday (1/18/22): Looking for Value in the Pick Ends

Chris Adams

Hitting Pick 4s and pick 5s can be a challenge. Players should be ready to encounter long losing streaks. However, with a proper valuation, players can ensure that when they hit it will make up for the losses. Parx offers more pick 4 opportunities than any other track in the country.

Tuesday Analysis

Parx Race Course Race 1- Early Pick 4

Post: 12:25 PM ET; Purse: $30,000 Maiden Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7

#1 KODAPENDENT (3-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed figures #2 DOCTOR DOOM (2-1) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including stamina & pace numbers. #7 BATTLE OF BERLIN (6-1) wouldn't be a huge surprise in the winner's circle. #3 MY BROTHER NEIL (5-1) could get a perfect pace scenario today.

Selections: 1-2-7-3

Parx Race Course Race 2

Post: 12:52 PM ET; Purse: $20,000 Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards on Dirt; Entries: 11

#11 WONDER CITY (3-1) is in with a major shot holding speed & class. #3 IOVA (6-1) could get a perfect pace scenario today. #5 ALLEGRETTO (5-1) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race. #8 SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD (4-1) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.

Selections: 11-3-5-8 (Best Bet: #11 WONDER CITY)

Parx Race Course Race 3- Early Middle Pick 4

Post: 1:19 PM ET; Purse: $42,000 Maiden Special Weight, 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7

#6 MISTY MAUVE (8-5) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & pace numbers. #3 DUNE JUMPER (12-1) is an interesting runner at the price. #4 REID'S FANGIRL (9-2) is worth a look here given edges in race flow & is well bred against this group. #7 FRIEDER FANATIC (6-1) isn’t without a shot in this spot.

Selections: 6-3-4-7

Parx Race Course Race 4

Post: 1:46 PM ET; Purse: $19,000 Maiden Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 9

#8 MAJESTIC SKY (4-1) is in with a major shot holding speed & class. #1 ENANO (5-1) makes sense on paper, but the value will depend on how the rail has played through the first three races. #2 WILL TAKE CONTROL (2-1) comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future. #7 AUSTIN WHYLIE (15-1) is an interesting long shot to be included underneath.

Selections: 8-1-2-7

Parx Race Course Race 5- Late Middle Pick 4

Post: 2:13 PM ET; Purse: $42,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7

#1 MR SANDMAN (5-2) is a major player in today's race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & pace numbers. #3 CRABS N BEER (4-1) fits on a lot of numbers. #4 SOUTHERN RUNNER (9-2) merits consideration in this spot given edges in stamina & class. #6 PERFECT DAY (5-1) should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group.

Selections: 1-3-4-6

Parx Race Course Race 6- Pick 5

Post: 2:40 PM ET; Purse: $34,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 8

This race seems pretty wide open. #7 ICY COLD (7-2) has foundation that could prove to be helpful in the late stages of the race.. #8 MACKENZIE'S NOVVA (8-1) is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today's distance and surface conditions. #4 UNCLE GARY G (5-1) is worth a look here given edges in race flow & form. #6 UNDERCOVER KITTY (5-2) is worth a look here given edges in class & pace numbers.

Selections: 7-8-4-6

Parx Race Course Race 7- Late Pick 4

Post: 3:07 PM ET; Purse: $25,000 Starter Optional Claiming, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 9

#8 DIVINE MIRACLE (3-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & connections. #1 CANT STOP THIS MAN (4-1) looks like a strong prospect edging the field in several key handicapping factors including class & power rating. #5 PERFECT REVENGE (5-1) should be competitive today based on the horse's speed figures alone. #6 RACK GIN (6-1) would have to be considered a fringe contender.

Selections: 8-1-5-6

Parx Race Course Race 8

Post: 3:34 PM ET; Purse: $25,000 Starter Optional Claiming, 5 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 10

#10 PYLON (6-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & connections. #5 VICTORY BUILT (5-2) looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts. #2 UNIMPEACHABLE (5-1) should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group. #6 CLEMENZA (6-1) comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future.

Selections: 10-5-2-6

Parx Race Course Race 9

Post: 4:01 PM ET; Purse: $42,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards on Dirt; Entries: 10

#9 UNCLE IRISH (5-1) is a major player based on speed figures. #8 FLORIDA GATOR (4-1) is worth a look here given edges in class & record at the distance. #7 VINE JET (8-1) is worth a look here given edges in connections & form. #10 NOSTALGIC RUN (3-1) is worth a look here given edges in stamina & power rating.

Selections: 9-8-7-10

Parx Race Course Race 10

Post: 4:28 PM ET; Purse: $22,000 Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 12

#6 DIESEL (7-2) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & form. #7 MISSION WRAPITUP (6-1) looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts. #2 MONDAY'S WITH MIKE (8-1) will likely be able to carry his speed late if others are tiring in the stretch. #9 BARILKO (6-1) is worth a look here given the connections & race flow and projected race flow.

Selections: 6-7-2-9

Tuesday Pick 4 and Pick 5 Strategy

When putting together pick ends tickets there are a couple considerations to use. For these tickets the general construction followed the following set of guidelines:

  1. Eliminate vulnerable favorites
  2. Stick to front end runners when possible
  3. Keep cost down by getting “skinny” when possible
  4. Cast a wide net when chaos seems likely

Given these considerations some of the tickets may differ slightly from the picks above.

Early Pick 4 (Races 1-4)

  • Early Pick 4 Ticket: 1,2,7/11/2,3,4,6,7/1,7,8 ($22.50)

Early Middle Pick 4 (Races 3-6)

This seems like the hardest sequence of the bunch and appears to require the biggest investment per race.

  • Early Middle Pick 4 Ticket: 2,3,4,6,7/1,8/1,5,6/4,5,7,8 ($60)

Late Middle Pick 4 (Races 5-8)

  • Late Middle Pick 4 Ticket: 1,5,6/4,5,7,8/8/2,5,10 ($18)

Philly Pick 5 (Races 6-10)

  • Philly 5 Ticket: 4,5,7,8/8/5,10/7,8,9,10/6,7,8,9 ($64)

Late Pick 4(Races 7-10)

  • Late Pick 4 Ticket: 1,8/5,10/7,8,9,10/6,7,8,9 ($32)

Betting News Tuesday Coverage

Betting News free tips and handicapping tools are available each and every day. Tuesday’s tracks include:

More Articles You Might like

Latest on Betting News

Tonight, the most pivotal game of the 2022 NBA Eastern Conference finals takes place in Boston, with the Miami Heat taking a 2-1 series lead into their matchup with the Celtics. In Game 3 on Saturday, the Heat took control early, outscoring the Celtics 39-18 in the first quarter and leading by as many as