Keeneland Picks- Closing Friday Analysis (4/25/2025)

Chris Adams

Written by: Chris Adams

Published: Thu Apr 24, 2025, 6:03 pm ET

Read Time: 7 minutes

Horses leave gate at Keeneland

horses

The racing action from Keeneland on Friday features the Bewitch Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales. @HandicappingT3 has all the Keeneland picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

Keeneland Picks- Closing Friday Analysis (4/25/2025)

Keeneland Picks- Closing Friday Analysis (4/25/2025)

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Keeneland Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:30 PM ET; Claiming $49k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

  • #3 DAY DAWNING (7-5): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot. Barn has been solid.

  • #6 ASH WEDNESDAY (2-1): Contender. Trainer is having a great meet. Likely to get forward position.

  • #2 CHAMPAGNE ON ICE (6-1): Worth a look. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Speed figs match up nicely.

  • #5 CEEBEE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Shouldn't be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 5

The Plays

  • Win: #3 at 3-2 or better
  • Exacta: 3/2,4,5,6
  • Trifecta: 3/2,6/2,4,5,6

Keeneland Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:01 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $90k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 16 runners.

  • #9 CINNAMON SUGAR (20-1): Top pick. Could be ready for a top effort.

  • #15 ESTRELLA SILVER (30-1): Major Player. Likely to take a step forward.

  • #12 STORM CLOUD RISING (20-1): Contender. Should step forward from the first start. Barn has been sending out runners.

  • #3 SWEET ESPRESSO (50-1): Contender. Could be ready to hit a peak performance.

Selections: 9 – 15 – 12 – 3

The Plays

  • Win/Place/Show: #9

Keeneland Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:32 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $54k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #5 VICKI ROSE (9-2): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Looks good based on the 78 speed rating which is among the top in the group.

  • #3 SPLENDID (6-1): Longshot play of the day. Good race flow for this runner. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.

  • #7 RAGTIME SIZZLE (7-2): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.

  • #2 SCYTHIA (5-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 7 – 2

The Plays

  • Win: #5 at 2-1 or better
  • Win: #3 at 2-1 or better
  • Exacta Box: 3,5,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:03 PM ET; Claiming $57k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #1 HIGHER STANDARD (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Fits well with this group.

  • #7 UNCASHED (5-2): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Should take a liking to the race shape.

  • #4 FORGIVING SPIRIT (6-1): Worth a look. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Barn has been sending out runners.

  • #5 JUNIOR BUG (9-2): Fringe Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 4 – 5

The Plays

  • Win: #1 at 2-1 or better
  • Win: #7 at 2-1 or better
  • Exacta Box: 1,7

Keeneland Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:34 PM ET; Allowance $130k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

  • #2 BUTTERCREAM BABE (9-2): Prime Win Player. Proven competitor at this configuration. Races competitive with the top contenders.

  • #8 SWEET REBECCA (7-2): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #1 DEEP SATIN (3-1): Worth a look. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Could wear these ones down late.

  • #4 GHOSTLY GAL (20-1): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Fast enough on paper to compete.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 1 – 4

The Plays

  • Win: #2 at 9-5 or better
  • Exacta: 2/3,4
  • Trifecta: 2/3,4,8/1,3,4,8

Keeneland Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:05 PM ET; Allowance $120k; About 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #1 TIARELLA (9-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Should be able to work out a trip.

  • #5 SAM'S TREASURE (2-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Good race flow for this runner.

  • #3 ZADORSKY (3-1): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Barn has been sending out runners.

  • #4 ROMAN GRACE (15-1): Major Player. Shouldn't be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 1 – 5 – 3 – 4

The Plays

  • Win: #1 at 3-1 or better
  • Exacta Key Box: 1/3,5

Keeneland Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:36 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

  • #2 CAMPAIGN TRAIL (10-1): Top pick. Races competitive with the top contenders. Comes in with solid form.

  • #9 WHITE WHALE (8-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Should take a liking to the race shape.

  • #7 LIFES REWARD (5-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types.

  • #5 ARTHUR JR (20-1): Major Player. Shouldn't be disadvantaged by the flow of the race. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 2 – 9 – 7 – 5

The Plays

  • Win: #2 at 3-1 or better
  • Exacta Box: 2,7,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:07 PM ET; Bewitch Stakes Presented by Keeneland Sales $350k; 1 1/2 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #2 IMMENSITUDE (5-2): Prime Win Player. Looks good based on the 89 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Stamina to outlast the competition.

  • #3 FOREVER AFTER ALL (9-5): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.

  • #8 STRIKINGLY SPUN (8-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. Should sit a good trip.

  • #1 DAZZLIN' DICTATOR (20-1): Fringe Contender. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 8 – 1

The Plays

  • Win: #2 at 8-5 or better
  • Exacta: 2/1,3,8
  • Trifecta: 2/1,3,8/1,3,8
  • Pick 3: 2/1/2,4,11,13

Keeneland Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:38 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $140k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

  • #1 UNMATCHED WISDOM (6-5): Best bet of the card. Fits well with this group. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.

  • #7 BLACK POWDER (8-1): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Seems to be up against the right competition.

  • #2 WILL TAKE IT (4-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Previous success in similar race types.

  • #9 DUBYUHNELL (6-1): Fringe Contender. Fast enough on paper to compete. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 2 – 9

The Plays

  • Win: #1 at 8-5 or better
  • Exacta: 1/2,7,9
  • Trifecta: 1/2,7/2,3,7,9

Keeneland Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:09 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $110k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 16 runners.

  • #4 TEMPUS VOLAT (12-1): Prime Win Player. Favorable class relief in this spot.

  • #11 SUMOOD (4-1): Fringe Contender. Running well of late. Seems to be up against the right competition.

  • #2 SWEET FREEDOM (15-1): Worth a look. Has experience at this level. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.

  • #13 VIVALDI (7-2): Fringe Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 4 – 11 – 2 – 13

The Plays

  • Win/Place/Show: #4
  • Exacta Box:  2,4,11,13

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Chris Adams
Chris Adams

Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.

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