Fair Grounds Picks: Saturday Kentucky Derby Prep (2/14/2026)

The racing action from Fair Grounds on Saturday features the Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Fair Grounds picks for the entire card!

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Fair Grounds Full Card Analysis

Fair Grounds Picks: Saturday Kentucky Derby Prep (2/14/2026)

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:00 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $65k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 9 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

• #4 YAUDACITY (8-1): Longshot play of the day. Comes in with solid form. Looks good based on the 86 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
• #6 SPARE ME (7-2): Fringe Contender. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Hernandez puts this one in with a chance.
• #2 SEEKING ATTENTION (10-1): Underneath. Previous success in similar race types. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
• #3 KAYLA'S KOMET (9-2): Underneath. Race conditions fit this one well. Shouldn't be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 4 – 6 – 2 – 3

The Plays

Win: #4 at 4-1

Exacta: 4/ 6,2

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 12:30 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $65k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #7 DEEP FLAME (7-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration.
• #1 TROUBLE CALLING (3-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Trainer is having a great meet.
• #2 TROMBONE (7-2): Fringe Contender. Gaffalione puts this one in with a chance. Previous success in similar race types.
• #9 VIVO STAVOLTA (6-1): Underneath. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 7 – 1 – 2 – 9

The Plays

Win: #7 at 4-1

Exacta Box: 7,1

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:00 PM CT; Colonel Power Stakes $100k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 8 runners.

• #5 USUALLY WRONG (6-5): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition. Fits well with this group.
• #2 BEAR RIVER (6-1): Major Player. Graham and Desormeaux team up on this one.
• #1 CAN'T DENY IT (12-1): Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
• #4 DEMOLITION DUKE (12-1): Contender. Top connections on the circuit with Ortiz and Walsh. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 5 – 2 – 1 – 4

The Plays

Win: #5 at 6-5

Exacta: 5/ 2,1

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 1:30 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $65k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

• #1 ISLAND FLOWER (7-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
• #6 GOODALL (5-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #10 GERBER DAISY (8-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Should sit a good trip.
• #9 THESEWALLSHAVEEARS (10-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Top connections on the circuit with Hernandez and Mcgee.

Selections: 1 – 6 – 10 – 9

The Plays

Win: #1 at 4-1

Exacta Box: 1,6

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:00 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $65k; 1 M Turf; Field of 15 runners.

• #1 OCALA GALA (3-1): Top pick. Solid closing kick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
• #15 CORE MEMORIES (6-1): Major Player. Running well of late.
• #14 KENTUCKY MULE (8-1): Major Player. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Potential to kick home late.
• #6 PRIMA DONNA (12-1): Contender. Bloodlines fit this race. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 1 – 15 – 14 – 6

The Plays

Win: #1 at 7-2

Exacta Box: 1,15,14

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 2:30 PM CT; Allowance Optional Claiming $65k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #12 FURIO (6-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Fits well with this group.
• #9 TOUGH CATCH (6-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Speed figures match this group well.
• #5 MAXIMUM BOURBON (7-2): Major Player. The 94 speed rating is among the best in the field. Curtis puts this one in with a chance.
• #7 ATTACHE (9-2): Major Player. Trainer's horses have been running. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 12 – 9 – 5 – 7

The Plays

Win: #12 at 5-1

Exacta Box: 12,9,5

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:00 PM CT; Maiden Special Weight $65k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #12 QUALITY SPIRITS (8-1): Top pick. Race may setup for this runner. Strong early pace figs.
• #10 SILVER SHOT (6-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Lopez puts this one in with a chance.
• #7 TIERNANOGUE (6-1): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races.
• #8 AWESOME GUN (5-1): Major Player. Bloodlines fit this race. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 12 – 10 – 7 – 8

The Plays

Win: #12 at 5-1

Exacta Box: 12,10,7

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 3:30 PM CT; Albert M. Stall Memorial Stakes $100k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

• #1 MEDORO (9-5): Prime Win Player. Solid closing kick. Looks good based on the 95 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
• #2 OVERSUBSCRIBED (5-2): Contender. Stamina to be in the mix late. Gaffalione puts this one in with a chance.
• #4 EXPENSIVE QUEEN (6-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Potential to have this pace fall just right.
• #8 FEATHER BOA (8-1): Fringe Contender. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 4 – 8

The Plays

Win: #1 at 2-1

Exacta: 1/ 2,4

Pick 3 (races 8-10): #1 with #6 with #9,2,6

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:00 PM CT; Mineshaft Stakes Presented by Hagyard $250k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 7 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

• #6 HIT SHOW (9-5): Best bet of the card. Stamina to outlast the competition. Geroux and Cox team up on this one. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #4 MOONLIGHT (6-1): Contender. Likely to get forward position. Ortiz puts this one in with a chance.
• #3 CADET CORPS (6-1): Contender. Potentially ready to hit a top number. Could wear these ones down late.
• #2 ACCELERIZE (4-1): Underneath. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 6 – 4 – 3 – 2

The Plays

Win: #6 at 1-1

Exacta: 6/ 4,3

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 4:30 PM CT; Fair Grounds Stakes Presented by Horse Racing Nation $175k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

• #9 LAGYNOS (7-2): Top pick. Barn has been solid. Race sets up perfectly.
• #2 BRILLIANT BERTI (4-1): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues.
• #6 MONTADOR (6-1): Major Player. Speed figs match up nicely. Barn has been sending out runners.
• #7 KUPUNA (3-1): Contender. Should still have enough if the reserves if there in the final furlong. Ran at this level last out.

Selections: 9 – 2 – 6 – 7

The Plays

Win: #9 at 4-1

Exacta Box: 9,2,6

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:00 PM CT; Fasig-Tipton Rachel Alexandra Stakes $300k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #3 BELLA BALLERINA (2-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Gaffalione puts this one in with a chance.
• #1 JUST SINGING (7-2): Major Player. This filly debuts at low odds. Backside buzz? Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #7 MAJESTICAL (4-1): Contender. Speed figs match up nicely. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race.
• #6 LUV YOUR NEIGHBOR (6-1): Contender. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 7 – 6

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-2

Exacta Box: 3,1

Fair Grounds Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 5:30 PM CT; Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes $500k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #4 PALADIN (8-5): Prime Win Player. Race sets up perfectly. Fits well with this group.
• #7 COURTING (6-1): Contender. Trainer is having a great meet.
• #2 GOLDEN TEMPO (3-1): Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. May be able find the right setup.
• #5 CHIP HONCHO (6-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Race shape gives this one an edge.

Selections: 4 – 7 – 2 – 5

The Plays

Win: #4 at 9-5

Exacta: 4/ 7,2,5

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