Colonial Downs Picks: Grade 1 Arlington Million Stakes (8/01/2026)

Chris Adams

Written by: Chris Adams

Published: Sat Aug 01, 2026, 7:00 am ET

Read Time: 8 minutes

Colonial Downs Inherits Arlington Park Stakes Pair, Saturday Picks cover

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The racing action from Colonial Downs on Saturday features the Arlington Million Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Colonial Downs picks for the entire card!

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Colonial Full Card Analysis

Colonial Downs Picks: Grade 1 Arlington Million Stakes (8/01/2026)

Colonial Downs Picks: Grade 1 Arlington Million Stakes (8/01/2026)

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:00 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $32k; 1 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.

  • #4 KINDA KRAZY (5-1): Top Pick. Looks good based on the 77 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Barn has been solid.
  • #10 GOTTA BE DA SHOES (8-1): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Well bred for this race.
  • #12 LIGHT DE NIGHT (2-1): Contender. Barn has been sending out runners. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous.
  • #13 HOP TO IT (5-2): Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 4 – 10 – 12 – 13

The Plays

Win: #4 at 4-1

Exacta: 4 / 10,13

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 12:27 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $74k; 6 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #1 JIMMY'S DAILYS (7-5): Top Pick. Barn has been solid. Should be able to work out a trip.
  • #4 GOODBYE NOTE (12-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #8 PRACTICALLY DARK (2-1): Major Player. May be able to find the right setup. Likely to maintain its stamina reserves for a strong finish.
  • #3 ATTACHE (6-1): Major Player. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 8 – 3

The Plays

Win: #1 at 6-5

Exacta: 1 / 4,3

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 12:54 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $70k; 6 F Turf; Field of 14 runners.

Longshot Play of the Day

  • #12 FREGATA (5-1): Longshot Play of the Day. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today's live longshot on MyBookie.
  • #9 SPRITZN' AROUND (4-1): Major Player. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Lopez and Duarte team up on this one.
  • #1 CHAMPAGNE BRUNCH (6-1): Contender. Pedigree fits in this spot.
  • #8 ON MY TIME (10-1): Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 12 – 9 – 1 – 8

The Plays

Win: #12 at 5-1

Pick 3 (Races 3-5): #12,9 with #1 with #3,6

Trifecta: 12 / 9,1 / 9,1,8

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 1:26 PM ET; Andy Guest Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 7 runners.

  • #1 ROJA (1-1): Best Bet of the Card. Race may setup for this runner. Looks good based on the 97 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Bet today's best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
  • #7 SATURDAY FLIRT (2-1): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Velazquez puts this one in with a chance.
  • #3 LUCY MCGEE (12-1): Contender. Should find today's group a bit softer than the last race. Barn has been sending out runners.
  • #4 SHE'S A TEMPEST (6-1): Contender. Top connections on the circuit with Lopez and Kenneally.

Selections: 1 – 7 – 3 – 4

The Plays

Win: #1 at 1-1

Exacta: 1 / 3,4

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 1:55 PM ET; Petramalo Mile Stakes $100k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

  • #3 BRAVARO (4-5): Top Pick. Barn has been solid. Lopez puts this one in with a chance.
  • #6 PONT AVEN (15-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet.
  • #2 LANGVAD (8-1): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Could wear these ones down late.
  • #8 SABINO CANYON (5-1): Contender. Trainer's horses have been running. Velazquez and Baffert team up on this one.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 8

The Plays

Win: #3 at 1-1

Exacta: 3 / 6,2

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 2:27 PM ET; Tyson Gilpin Stakes $100k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

  • #2 MASHALLAH (6-5): Prime Win Player. Barn has been solid. Strong early pace figs.
  • #4 SLEWPERSTITUS (5-1): Contender. Demonstrated success under similar conditions. Can run with these.
  • #3 EMBRACE THE MOMENT (5-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #7 SHILLING (6-1): Underneath. Could be ready to hit a peak performance. Could be grinding down the competition late.

Selections: 2 – 4 – 3 – 7

The Plays

Win: #2 at 6-5

Exacta: 2 / 4,3

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 2:59 PM ET; Reigh Count Stakes $100k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 10 runners.

  • #10 VERIFIRE (7-2): Top Pick. Comes in with solid form. Race sets up perfectly.
  • #9 CELTIC CONTENDER (15-1): Major Player. Should still be running strong in the closing stages. Good race flow for this runner.
  • #7 BRACKET BUSTER (5-2): Major Player. Hard to argue with the recent races. Should sit a good trip.
  • #5 ILLUMINARE (9-2): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.

Selections: 10 – 9 – 7 – 5

The Plays

Win: #10 at 3-1

Exacta: 10 / 9,7,5

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 3:35 PM ET; Van Clief Stakes $150k; 5 1/2 F Turf; Field of 14 runners.

  • #13 MY BOY PRINCE (3-1): Top Pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
  • #14 CHASING LIBERTY (8-1): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #12 GOVERNOR SAM (7-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Potential to have this pace fall just right.
  • #2 ALOGON (9-2): Major Player. Recent races are solid. Trainer's horses have been running.

Selections: 13 – 14 – 12 – 2

The Plays

Win: #13 at 5-2

Exacta: 13 / 14,12,2

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:22 PM ET; Secretariat Stakes $500k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 9 runners.

  • #3 SUPERCHARGER (7-2): Top Pick. Favorable class relief in this spot. Proven competitor at this configuration.
  • #1 TURF STAR (6-1): Major Player. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Seems to be up against the right competition.
  • #2 CONDUCTED (6-1): Major Player. Potential to have this pace fall just right.
  • #4 FUZZBUSTER (8-1): Major Player. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Likely to win the battle if challenged in the stretch.

Selections: 3 – 1 – 2 – 4

The Plays

Win: #3 at 3-1

Exacta: 3 / 1,2,4

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:03 PM ET; Beverly D. Stakes $500k; 1 3/16 M Turf; Field of 12 runners.

  • #8 STELLIFY (3-1): Top Pick. Comes in with solid form. Races competitive with the top contenders.
  • #12 WAY TO BE MARIE (6-1): Major Player. Comes home strong. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch.
  • #5 CREVALLE D'ORO (12-1): Contender. May be able to find the right setup. Previous success in similar race types.
  • #9 GIMME A NOTHER (9-2): Contender. Recent races are solid. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 8 – 12 – 5 – 9

The Plays

Win: #8 at 5-2

Exacta: 8 / 12,5,9

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:52 PM ET; Arlington Million Stakes $1000k; 1 1/4 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

  • #5 BURNHAM SQUARE (5-2): Top Pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Stamina to outlast the competition.
  • #6 TEST SCORE (9-2): Major Player. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Should take a liking to the race shape.
  • #8 GRAN ORIENTE (10-1): Fringe Contender. Hard to argue with the recent races. Barn has been sending out runners.
  • #4 INTEGRATION (4-1): Fringe Contender. Velazquez and Mcgaughey team up on this one. Could be grinding down the competition late.

Selections: 5 – 6 – 8 – 4

The Plays

Win: #5 at 2-1

Exacta: 5 / 6,4

Colonial Downs Picks – Race 12

Post Time: 6:27 PM ET; Allowance $72k; 1 M Turf; Field of 14 runners.

  • #3 JUTLAND (15-1): Top Pick. Fits well with this group. Should be able to work out a trip.
  • #2 NO TEMPERANCE (5-2): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Looks fast enough off previous efforts.
  • #7 LENNOX THE GREY (5-1): Major Player. May be able to find the right setup.
  • #8 GOLF CART RYDER (20-1): Major Player. Race shape gives this one an edge. May be getting a weaker field than last out.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 7 – 8

The Plays

Win: #3 at 5-1

Exacta: 3 / 2,7,8

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Chris Adams
Chris Adams

Chris first got introduced to horse racing in 2009 at Canterbury Park (Shakopee, MN). Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer.

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