AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2026 Picks: Which Golfers Stay Hot?

Danny Burke

Written by: Danny Burke

Published: Wed Feb 11, 2026, 2:10 pm ET

Read Time: 9 minutes

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The first Signature Event of the season takes us back to the California Coast, where 80 players will tee it up at the historic Pebble Beach, for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. 

Each pro will be paired with an amateur for the opening 36 holes, which will be split in a two-course rotation between Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course. 

Let's take a deeper dive into my AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2026 picks and betting preview. 

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Odds to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Odds courtesy of Lucky Rebel:

  • Scottie Scheffler (+300)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1400)
  • Si Woo Kim (+2200)
  • Justin Rose (+2500)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
  • Viktor Hovland (+2800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2800)
  • Chris Gotterup (+3000)
  • Russell Henley (+3000)
  • Cameron Young (+3500)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+3500)
  • Jake Knapp (+3500)
  • Maverick McNealy (+3500)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+3500)
  • Ben Griffin (+4000)
  • Jason Day (+4000)
  • Ludvig Åberg (+4000)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)
  • Michael Thorbjornsen (+4000)
  • Robert MacIntyre (+4000)
  • Shane Lowry (+4500)

Pebble Beach Betting Preview

Three of the four rounds will be played at Pebble Beach, a Par 72 measuring just 6,989 yards, while the one round at Spyglass Hill Golf Course comes in slightly longer at 7,071 yards.

Pebble features some of the smallest greens on Tour, which naturally places a premium on both Greens in Regulation and Scrambling. Misses are inevitable, and the ability to consistently get up and down will be critical. Both courses feature Poa Annua greens, and that alone can quickly separate contenders from the rest of the field. Comfort on Poa – especially in coastal conditions – is something I'll weigh heavily this week.

Spyglass presents a different look. It's more tree-lined and claustrophobic off the tee, with narrower fairways and average-sized greens, though it still carries the same coastal influence. Pebble, meanwhile, is far more exposed along the coastline and demands precision into its tiny targets.

Unlike several venues we've seen earlier this season, this isn't a course that heavily rewards pure bombers off the tee — nor does it strictly demand elite accuracy, given the relatively wide fairways and manageable rough. This is very much a second-shot test, placing added emphasis on wedge play, particularly from 75–150 yards.

In addition to proximity, I'll be keying in on:

  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Around the Green / Scrambling
  • SG: Putting (Poa)
  • Good Drive Percentage
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Par 5 Performance

With that profile in mind, let's dive into the players who check those boxes and offer value on this week's board.

Last Week's Recap: 

Due to being on-site at Media Row in San Francisco for the Super Bowl, I wasn't able to publish a breakdown for the WM Phoenix Open. However, we stayed profitable the week prior at the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing up +1.40 units.

That moves the season tally to 8-24, up +3.08 units overall.

At Torrey Pines, we cashed:

  • Jake Knapp Top 20 (+250)
  • Maverick McNealy Top 20 (+180)
  • Hideki Matsuyama Top 20 (+160)

As always, be sure to shop around for the best numbers, as PGA odds can vary significantly from book to book. As always, a quarter unit is allocated to outright plays and a full unit on the Top 20 wagers, which are not including ties.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks

Our PGA analyst delivers The American Express betting preview, predictions and picks that you need to get ready for this week's tournament.

Russell Henley To Win (31/1) | Top 20 (+125)

This will be Russell Henley's third start of the 2026 season, and he's been sharp right out of the gate. He finished T-19 at the Sony Open and followed that up with a T-8 at The American Express. It's really just a continuation of what we saw from him in 2025 – a season that included a T-5 finish here at Pebble Beach. Across 15 career rounds at this venue, Henley owns a True Strokes Gained mark of +0.82.

For Henley, and each player highlighted below, I filtered the data to California coastal events played on Poa Annua greens over their last 30 rounds. Under those parameters, Henley ranks 14th in SG: Around the Green, 16th in SG: Approach and 27th in SG: Putting (Poa).

Everything about his game fits Pebble, so don't be surprised if he's in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

Jake Knapp

Jake Knapp To Win (40/1) | Top 20 (+150)

Jake Knapp was someone I couldn't believe wasn't getting more attention a few weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open — and he went out and finished T-5. Had I written up the WM Phoenix Open, I likely would've gone right back to him…and sure enough, he finished eighth at The People's Open.

So yeah, I'm putting my money where my mouth is again this week.

Knapp has logged 18 rounds under these coastal California Poa conditions, and the numbers jump off the page. He ranks eighth in SG: Putting (Poa), ninth in SG: Total and 30th in SG: APP. On the season, he's also sixth in Par 5 Performance, 14th in Bogey Avoidance, 23rd in Scrambling and 30th in Good Drive %.

Let's ride the hot hand again and see if Knapp can keep it rolling at Pebble Beach.

Jason Day

Jason Day To Win (50/1) | Top 20 (+180)

The 38-year-old Australian is another player I've been keeping an eye on this season, but haven't backed just yet. That changes this week out in California, at a spot where Day has performed exceptionally well, posting a True SG mark of +1.72 through 34 rounds of experience here.

He comes into this week ranked 12th in SG: TOT, 18th in SG: ARG and 21st in SG: PUTT (Poa). He's also fourth in Bogey Avoidance, fifth in Scrambling and 24th in Good Drive Percentage.

The form and course experience line up beautifully. We're getting a quality number on a player who already posted a T-2 in his first start of the year at The American Express – don't sleep on Day.

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Pierceson Coody To Win (69/1) | Top 20 (+200)

This guy has quietly been one of the hottest players on Tour to start the 2026 season. Four starts, four strong finishes:

T-13: Sony Open
T-18: The American Express
T-2: Farmers Insurance Open
T-10: WM Phoenix Open

And yet, because he's not exactly a household name, the sportsbooks, DFS sites and much of the general public still aren't fully buying in.

I'm continuing to do so.

Pierceson Coody ranks second in SG: PUTT (Poa) and 22nd in SG: TOT. He's also second in Par 5 Performance, 27th in Bogey Avoidance and 29th in Good Drive Percentage.

I'll keep backing him until he gives me a reason not to.

Daniel Berger To Win (65/1) | Top 20 (+225)

Daniel Berger wasn't originally on my radar at the start of the week, but the deeper I got into this handicap, the harder he became to ignore.

He ranks 10th in SG: TOT, 15th in SG: ARG, 24th in SG: APP and 26th in SG: PUTT (Poa). On top of that, he's eighth in Bogey Avoidance, 11th in Good Drive %, 22nd in Par 5 Performance and 29th in Scrambling this season.

Oh – and he's already won this event, taking it down in 2021. Across 11 rounds at Pebble Beach, Berger owns a +2.25 True SG mark.

Who's to say he can't find himself right back on top again?

Nick Taylor

Nick Taylor To Win (90/1) | Top 20 (+250)

Another former winner at Pebble Beach I'll be backing is Canadian Nick Taylor, who's offering strong value at prices as high as 90-1 outright and +250 for a Top 20.

Taylor ranks fourth in SG: APP, sixth in SG: TOT and 14th in SG: PUTT (Poa). He's logged 26 career rounds at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – including his 2020 victory – and owns a +0.86 True SG mark at this event.

In five of his last six trips to this signature event, he's finished T-39 or better, and he's also opened this season with three straight finishes of T-28 or better.

He's been steady and clearly knows his way around this coastline. I'm expecting another strong showing from Taylor this week.

Best Bets:

Other Golf Content at Betting News

Want to learn more strategy when it comes to betting on the links? Take a look at our golf betting guide:

Our sports betting guides also include helpful resources for golf handicapping, like our breakdown on futures bets and live betting.

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Danny Burke
Danny Burke

Danny Burke is a betting analyst with a decade of sports media experience. He got his start at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, sharing picks on the local ESPN affiliate. After college, he hosted shows for VSiN in Las Vegas before returning to Chicago to launch 'Rush Hour', the first daily sports betting show from an Illinois casino. He also co-hosted 'Props and Locks' on Fox32’s Bears pregame show and ran 'Bet On, Chicago' on WLS-AM 890.

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