F1 Expert Picks for The United States Grand Prix: Everything is bigger in Texas

We are back state side for the United States Grand Prix at Circuit of The Americas (COTA)!

We only have only six races left of the Formula One season and yet there is still a lot at stake for this weekend's race.

First off with a win here Kimi Antonelli all but clinches the Driver's World Championship at just 20 years old. With that though he needs teammate George Russell to finish ninth or lower, and Lewis Hamilton to finish fifth or lower.

Along with those stakes there is high stakes drama between McLaren and Red Bull who are battling for third in the Constructors Championship with only seven points separating the two. why is it so important? The difference between third and fourth is about nine million dollars of revenue share for the respective teams.

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United States Grand Prix Breakdown & Analysis

Circuit of The Americas or COTA for short is a very high speed track with plenty of overtaking opportunities so we will definitely see some action this weekend. But do not let that fool you it is also as much a technical track as it is fast.

With literally turn one being a blind apex turn climbing over 130 feet, driver have described it as "turning into the sky". That along with the heavy breaking zones at the end of the long straights means technical driving must be on point throughout the race.

The last thing that makes this track difficult is the fact that it is raced counter clockwise making it one of only eight that we have on the formula one calendar every year.

The Keys to winning at COTA are pretty straight forward.

Manage your tires, the rough asphalt and extreme Texas heat will destroy them. Make sure your aerodynamics are on point, the perfect balance of ride height and down force can make or break your race.

Last but certainly not least, NAIL THE BREAKING ZONES. If you break late or too early on this track it can send you right into a wall or even another car, ending your day at the Circuit of The Americas.

United States Grand Prix Best Bets & Predictions

Race Winner: Kimi Antonelli +400 on Lucky Rebel

Kimi has looked great all weekend and I think he surely knows what is at stake this weekend. This track is almost built for Kimi and the Mercedes car.

With those long straights and high speeds it highlights the best parts of the Mercedes car. Opponents will not be able to beat it in a straight line.

So weather you are infront of it or behind it you will not be able to defend against it or overtake it.

This track also gives so many opportunities to overtake that even if Kimi does not get pole in qualifying there is no doubt in my mind he will be able to work his way to front of the grid.

Safety Car During the Race – Yes -115 on Lucky Rebel

COTA is known for having some huge multi-car wrecks especially at that daunting turn one that I mention before. That along with the wear and tear on tires it almost is begging for a wreck or crash to happen.

There has been a safety car at the last three races here at COTA and I do not think that trend will stop this year with the new cars that drivers have been struggling with all season long. *cough* Lance Stroll *cough*

Isack Hadjar Top 6 Classification +135 on Lucky Rebel

We talked about it earlier in the introduction but the battle for third between McLaren and Red Bull is massive.

So give me the other Red Bull driver not named Max Verstappen to slide into the top 6 and secure his team some very valuable points.

The Red Bull car for the ladder half of the season has looked very good as well as Hadjar since returning back from his injury. So yeah I will take the top six here.

Not to Finish The Race – Lance Stroll – No -150 on Lucky Rebel

Almost an auto bet and win for me for most of the season I am going to take this bet till the wheels fall off. I have talked about in so many times but Lance Stroll does not belong on a Formula One track. 

Nepo baby, cry baby, annoying baby. Lance Stoll not to finish the race in five.

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