The New York Red Bulls and the Montreal Impact are about even in Eastern Conference standings. However, the Red Bulls are up a point thanks to one more draw than Montreal this season. They’re in solid form, having won two of their last three games, but they have not won back to back matches all season. They have more wins on the road than at home too so this might not be all that advantageous a spot.
It’s important to note that these teams have not yet met this season, but Montreal won the last time they played, 3-0, last October.
Montreal plays a little faster and a little looser than New York. These teams have played the same number of games, but the Impact have scored more goals and yielded more too. Montreal was playing well early in the season, including Concacaf Champions League win back in March, but since the restart they are just 4-7. This Montreal team has talent but the coach may be a little too reliant on veteran players when the young guys might give them more jump.
New York Red Bulls Quick Notes
- The four goals they scored against Inter Miami was a season high.
- Manager Bradley Carnell only took over the team a few weeks ago. He was previously an assistant with the team.
- The Red Bulls need to find more offense. In six of their losses they have not been able to find the back of the net.
New York Red Bulls Injuries
- M – Sean Davis – Out
- GK – Ryan Meara – Out
- D – Patrick Seagrist – Out
Montreal Impact Quick Notes
- The Impact are coached by Europan legend Thierry Henry
- Montrel was crushed 3-0 in their last game by a short handed New England side.
- Romell Quioto is the leading scorer and 7th in the league with 6 goals.
Montreal Impact Injuries
- M – Steeven Saba – Out
- M – Matheiu Choiniere – Out
- M – Ballou Tabla – Out
New York Red Bulls vs. Montreal Impact Betting Analysis:
Money Line: Red Bulls -165, Impact +390, Draw +300
I think the oddsmakers are being a little generous with this line in favor of New York. Yes, they are coming off an impressive win, but lets not forget that Inter Miami is an expansion team. Sure, maybe they aren’t disastrous like some other expansion teams out there, but I’m not sold that this team is ready to make a move up in the standings. I think the odds for this one should be a bit more even. They key for Montreal is going to be getting that first goal. As noted, the Red Bulls have really struggled to score in their losses, so if Montreal can get a lead, then it just might hold up. New York has also struggled with consistency this year, so the fact that they played well in their last game might be a strike against them here. I see this one as a coin-flip kind of game, so getting the Impact at this value is the way to go.
Take Montreal Impact +390.
This one is correlated to the side result and how the Red Bulls struggle to score when they don’t score first. I am looking for Montreal to get that important first goal and have New York chase that for the rest of the game. Evetually the Impact will score again on the counterattack mirroring a pattern in Red Buls games this season. Once the Impact are up 2-0 the game gets really stagnant as they are content to get away with the 2-0 road victory.
Score Prediction: Montreal Impact 2 – NYC Red Bulls 0
Take the under.