Tuesday night features an Interleague battle when the San Francisco Giants (72-78) travel to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (79-70). For both of these teams, it has been a pretty disappointing season. The Giants sit 24.5 games behind the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers and 10 games back of the second Wild Card in the National League, essentially ending any shot at a postseason appearance.
The Red Sox sit 18 games behind the AL East-leading New York Yankees and nine games out of the second Wild Card spot in the American League. After winning the World Series last year, Boston just could never consistently get it going this year.
The pitching matchup for this one features Logan Webb (1-2, 6.75 ERA) going for the Giants against Nathan Eovaldi (1-0, 5.81 ERA) of the Red Sox. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET.
The moneyline for this matchup features the San Francisco Giants at +180 and the Boston Red Sox at -190. The over/under for runs scored sits at 10.5.
By The Numbers
Offensively, the Red Sox have been the more dominant of the two teams. They currently rank fourth overall, averaging 5.58 runs per game (5.58 at home). The Giants come in 28th in the league, averaging 4.23 runs per game (5.07 on the road).
On the pitching side, it is the Giants that hold the upper hand. They rank 14th in the majors in earned run average with a staff ERA of 4.37 (4.85 on the road). The Red Sox come in 18th with a staff ERA of 4.63 (4.59 at home).
When you put it all together, it is Boston that holds the advantage in terms of run differential. They rank 12th in the majors with a run differential of +83, while the Giants rank 20th with a run differential of -78.
Giants Looking For Positives
With this looking like a lost season and next season already on management’s minds, the Giants would love to see some pitchers that could step into a starter’s role next season. With that in mind, Logan Webb will get another crack at showing he can get the job done. To this point, though, it has been a struggle.
In five starts, Webb is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and opponents are hitting a whopping .337 against him. In 22 2/3 innings, he has allowed 33 hits, 17 earned runs, three home runs and has struck out 22 versus seven walks. He will look for better against a strong Red Sox offense.
On the offensive side, Brandon Crawford and Evan Longoria have been hitting pretty well over the last month. In that time, Crawford is hitting .280/372/.413 with two home runs, six runs batted in and 11 runs scored. Longoria has hit .273/.343/.432 with four home runs, 15 runs batted in and 11 runs scored. Crawford has also fared well against Nathan Eovaldi in his career. In seven at-bats, he is hitting .286 with a home run and two runs batted in.
Red Sox Hope Offense Can Them
This has certainly been a season that the Red Sox faithful would love to forget. Having already relieved their general manager of his duties, Boston’s focus is on how to rebuild for next season. Still, the show must go on, and they have to find a way to finish this season on a strong note.
Taking the mound Tuesday for Boston will be righty Nathan Eovaldi. After Eovaldi signed a new contract in the offsesason, the Red Sox have not gotten the production from the righty they had hoped for. In 20 games (nine starts), he is 1-0 with a 5.81 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and opponents are hitting .272 against him. In 52 2/3 innings, he has allowed 55 hits, 34 earned runs, 12 home runs and has struck out 55 versus 26 walks.
While the pitching has struggled, the offense has been all right. Ranking in the top five in runs scored, the Boston offense has been led by Rafael Devers (.311 avg, 29 home runs, 107 runs batted in, 118 runs scored), Xander Bogaerts (.303 avg. 31 home runs, 106 RBI, 104 runs scored), JD Martinez (.302 avg., 35 home runs, 97 RBI) and Mookie Betts (.293 avg., 28 home runs, 131 runs scored).
Despite the offense, it has still not been enough to make up for their deficiencies in pitching and defense this season. This will be the first time that anyone on the Red Sox has seen Webb in their careers.
Red Sox Take Opener
I must be honest in saying that I don’t particularly love either of these teams with the way they have been playing. The Red Sox are just 36-39 at home while the Giants are 39-36 on the road. Despite that, the Red Sox have the ability to mash the ball while the Giants offense can be anemic at times.
Neither team has a particularly solid starter going in this one, and the bullpens have been hit or miss. Still, my money is going to go on the Red Sox in this one. With an inexperienced and struggling Webb on the mound, I think the Red Sox offense will be able to get to him for some runs.
While Eovaldi has struggled this season, I think he is going to show an ability to succeed against a struggling Giants offense. Overall, I am taking the Red Sox -190 in this one.