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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks

loanDepot park

<p>After being in control of the NL East all season, the New York Mets have finally been caught and passed by the Atlanta Braves.</p>
<p>Now, the question is: How will they respond?</p>
<p>Last season, the Mets were in control of the division for a large chunk of the season as the Braves struggled to just get over .500. Atlanta ended up with a fourth straight division title and a World Series championship, while New York ended up with a losing record and a new manager.</p>
<p>This season, the Mets had a double-digit lead at one point, and, even though the Braves have been on fire since the start of June, managed to hold off the Braves’ charge into September. </p>
<p>But last night’s 6-3 loss to the Marlins and Atlanta’s 6-4 win over the Seattle Mariners saw the Braves move a half-game ahead in the division. </p>
<p>Will their season-long record of resilience come through again today? Or will the Marlins upset the odds again and wrap up a series win? </p>
<h2 id="fvgmc">New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Matchup Information and Betting Odds</h2>
<h3 id="4fijg">Matchup Information</h3>
<ul>
<li>Matchup: New York Mets (87-52, 41-29 away, 2nd in the NL East) vs. Miami Marlins (57-80, 27-38 home, 4th in the NL East)</li>
<li>Venue &amp; Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, Florida)</li>
<li>Date: Saturday, September 10, 2022</li>
<li>Game Time: 6:10 p.m. Eastern Time</li>
</ul>
<h3 id="coeej">Mets vs. Marlins Pitching Matchup</h3>
<ul>
<li>New York: Carlos Carrasco (2022: 24 starts, 13-6, 3.91 ERA)</li>
<li>Miami: Pablo Lopez (2022: 27 starts, 8-9, 3.66 ERA)</li>
</ul>
<h3 id="fhhvv">Mets vs. Marlins Odds</h3>
<p><strong><em>Game odds are via <a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/betonline/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">BetOnline</a>. This article may also include odds from some of our other <a href="/best-online-sportsbooks/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">recommended sports betting sites</a>. </em></strong></p>
<h4 id="6lk32">Moneyline</h4>
<ul>
<li>New York Mets -164</li>
<li>Miami Marlins +138</li>
</ul>
<h4 id="8kn2h">Over/Under</h4>
<ul>
<li>Over 7.5 (-102)</li>
<li>Under 7.5 (-120)</li>
</ul>
<h4 id="292jg">Run Line</h4>
<ul>
<li>New York Mets -1.5 (+112)</li>
<li>Miami Marlins +1.5 (-134)</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="cfpep">New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Prediction and Best Bets</h2>
<p><strong>Mets vs. Marlins Prediction:</strong> Miami to win</p>
<p><strong>Mets vs. Marlins Best Bets:</strong> Miami +1.5 (Best Value: -127 at <a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/betus/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">BetUS</a>) &amp; Miami ML (Best Value: -138 at <a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/betonline/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">BetOnline</a>)</p>
<p>As has been mentioned a number of times this season, no team has been better at bouncing back from losses than the Mets. </p>
<p>They are 37-14 (.726) this season following a loss, making them the only team in the league with a win percentage of .700 or better following a loss.</p>
<p>The database at <a href="https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trends/win_trends/?sc=is_after_loss&amp;range=yearly_mlb_2022" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Team Rankings</a> goes back to the 2007 season, and in that time, only one team&#8211;the 2018 Yankees&#8211;have finished a full 162-game season with a .700 or better win percentage in games following a loss. In the shortened 2020 season, the World Series champion Dodgers finished 17-5 (.773) in games following a loss. </p>
<h3 id="b9k09">Best Records/Win Percentages in Games Following a Loss (2022 Season)</h3>
<ul>
<li>1. New York Mets &#8211; 37-14 (.726)</li>
<li>2. Houston Astros &#8211; 34-15 (.694)</li>
<li>3. Atlanta Braves &#8211; 35-16 (.686)</li>
</ul>
<p>So, the Mets are potentially headed for some pretty exclusive company. But that won’t matter much if they don’t finish what they started in the NL East and go deep in the postseason.</p>
<p>With Max Scherzer on the IL, it is imperative for the other members of the rotation to pitch well in their turns. </p>
<p>Carrasco is 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA in three starts against the Marlins this season, but in his first start since suffering a low-grade oblique strain against the Braves on August 16, he allowed five runs, six hits, and two walks in just 2.2 innings against the Washington Nationals last Sunday.</p>
<p>Only one of the runs was earned, but it was not an ideal return for Carrasco. He will need to be much better against the Marlins, who scored six runs for the second straight game last night.</p>
<p>Prior to their offensive outbursts against the Phillies and then the Mets, the Marlins had gone ten consecutive games without scoring more than three runs.</p>
<p>If that mini surge continues today, it bodes well for Lopez and the Marlins. </p>
<p>They are 10-3 when scoring four or more runs in a Lopez start, including 10-0 when scoring five or more runs. By comparison, they are just 3-11 when giving him fewer than four runs of support.</p>
<p>Two of Lopez’s starts of the season have come in his three starts against the Mets, and he is 0-5 with a 5.91 ERA in day games. </p>
<p>But with the Mets looking a bit shaky at the moment with four losses in their last six games, the “surging” Marlins have a lot of value as an ML and/or RL pick as a home underdog today.</p>
<h2 id="92i63">More Mets vs. Marlins Content on Betting News</h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="/mlb/matchup/2022-09-10-new_york_mets-miami_marlins-n-1/">Mets vs. Marlins Consensus Picks, Betting Stats &amp; Team Trends (9/10)</a></li>
</ul>
<h2 id="e8sff">More MLB Content on Betting News</h2>
<ul>
<li><a href="/articles/mlb/rays-yankees-prediction-best-bets-september-10-2022/">Rays vs. Yankees Prediction &amp; Best Bets (9/10)</a></li>
<li><a href="/articles/mlb/angels-astros-prediction-picks-september-10-2022/">Angels vs. Astros Prediction &amp; Best Bets (9/10)</a></li>
</ul>
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Mets vs. Marlins (September 10): How will the Mets respond to losing their NL East lead? cover

Mets vs. Marlins (September 10): How will the Mets respond to losing their NL East lead?

Mets vs. Marlins (September 10): How will the Mets respond to losing their NL East lead?

Eddie Griffin

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