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Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders Picks

Northwest Stadium

<h3><b>Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks</b></h3>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">It appears the Commanders will get starting quarterback Jayden Daniels back on Sunday night when they host the Seattle Seahawks.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Washington has dropped four of its last five games, including a current three-game losing streak. Snapping that skid won’t be easy against a Seattle team coming off its bye week and riding a stretch of four wins in its last five outings.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Let’s break down how these teams match up and explore the best betting angles in my Washington Commanders vs. Seattle Seahawks preview and picks.</span></p>
<p><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">For additional information on picks, props, moneylines, and more on today’s slate, take a look at our </span></i><a href="/nfl/picks/"><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">NFL Picks Page</span></i></a><i><span style="font-weight: 400;"> or our </span></i><a href="/nfl/odds/"><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">NFL Odds Page</span></i></a><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">.</span></i></p>
<p><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">You can also browse our recommendations for the </span></i><a href="/best-online-sportsbooks/"><i><span style="font-weight: 400;">best online sportsbooks</span></i></a><i><span style="font-weight: 400;"> available in the U.S.</span></i></p>
<h2><b>Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks NFL Betting Insights</b></h2>
<div id="attachment_84054" style="width: 1510px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-84054" class="wp-image-84054 size-full" src="https://wp.bettingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/2025BNNFL-Sam-Darnold.jpg" alt="" width="1500" height="1000" srcset="https://wp.bettingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/2025BNNFL-Sam-Darnold.jpg 1500w, https://wp.bettingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/2025BNNFL-Sam-Darnold-300x200.jpg 300w, https://wp.bettingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/2025BNNFL-Sam-Darnold-1024x683.jpg 1024w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1500px) 100vw, 1500px" /><p id="caption-attachment-84054" class="wp-caption-text">Can Sam Darnold shine under the Sunday Night Football lights?</p></div>
<h3><b>Commanders vs Seahawks Preview </b></h3>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Sam Darnold has been a prolific passer this season, ranking top-five in EPA, success rate and CPOE (Completion Percentage Over Expected).</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">On the other hand, Jayden Daniels has been below average in all three categories. Regression from his outstanding rookie season seemed inevitable, and that’s exactly what we’ve seen play out so far.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Through five starts, Daniels has completed just 61% of his passes for 1,031 yards, eight touchdowns and one interception. His mobility remains a weapon &#8211; he’s scrambled 44 times for 211 yards and one rushing score this season.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Coming off an injury and facing this Seattle defense may be one of the tougher tests of his year. The Seahawks rank seventh in success rate and eighth in EPA per play allowed. They also sit third in yards per play allowed (4.7) and fourth in red zone defense (50%).</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Conversely, Darnold will be facing a mediocre Washington defense that’s giving up the second-most yards per play (5.9) &#8211; a number that’s climbed to 6.5 over their last three games. The Commanders also rank 26th in red zone defense (64.3%), 24th in EPA per play allowed and 15th in success rate.</span></p>
<h3><b>Washington vs Seattle Picks </b></h3>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">On paper, the Seahawks certainly appear to be the right side. However, catching points with a healthier Commanders team that’s desperate for a win is tough to go against.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">With the total moving up to as high as 48.5, I lean strongly toward the under. Seattle’s defense has been fantastic, and when you pair that with Washington’s offensive struggles, this projects as a lower-scoring affair. Plus, Darnold has shown tendencies to regress, and if Seattle can establish the run, they’ll stick with it &#8211; chewing up clock and limiting explosive plays in the process.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">I’ll wait a bit longer to see if the over continues to draw money, then look to grab the under at its peak.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">As for a player prop, I’d consider Jayden Daniels over 39.5 rushing yards. The number feels a bit light, even though Seattle boasts a stout run defense &#8211; first in rush EPA, fifth in rush success rate allowed, and surrendering just 3.3 yards per carry (fewest in the NFL). But those metrics don’t always translate the same against mobile quarterbacks.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Opposing QBs have scrambled just 23 times for 120 yards against the Seahawks, though the only true dual-threat they’ve faced was Kyler Murray, who ran five times for 41 yards. Even C.J. Stroud managed 25 yards on just two attempts.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Daniels averages 8.8 rushes per game at 4.8 yards per attempt, and he should be on track to clear this number &#8211; especially against a strong defense that’s likely to limit his throwing options and force him to generate offense with his legs.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://affiliates.bettingnews.com/register/betonline/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><b>Best Bet: Jayden Daniels Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (-110)</b></a></p>
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