NFL MVP 2023 Odds and Favorites: Hot Hurts Holds Edge Over Prescott and Mahomes
Prior to the 2023 NFL season, oddsmakers and many others thought that the NFL MVP race would come down to a trio of superstar quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, and Josh Allen.
Through two-thirds of the regular season, only one of that group might still be a contender for the award.
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In a Week 11 matchup with the Baltimore Ravens, Burrow suffered a torn ligament in his right wrist, ending his season and likely the Cincinnati Bengals’ hopes of a third straight AFC Championship Game appearance.
Allen has put up big numbers thus far this season, but after dropping four of their last six games, the Buffalo Bills are only 6-6 and in a perilous position in the NFL playoff picture.
That leaves Mahomes, who has not been spectacular as of late but remains a top contender in a race that remains open with six weeks left in the regular season.
Can Mahomes repeat as MVP this season? If he does, he will join two exclusive groups.
Jim Brown, Joe Montana, Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, and Aaron Rodgers are the only players who have repeated as AP NFL MVP, while Brown, Montana, Favre, Manning, Rodgers, and Tom Brady are the only players with three or more NFL MVP wins.
Even with the field of serious contenders diminishing by the week, the list of favorites continues to be dominated by one position. Quarterbacks have accounted for the last 10 NFL MVP wins, and QBs have won the award—either solo or shared—46 times in 66 seasons.
At BetOnline, the top non-QB on their list of NFL MVP odds is San Francisco’s Christian McCaffrey, who comes in at +1600.
Odds to be Named 2023 NFL MVP
Odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, November 30, 2023.
- Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles +160
- Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys +500
- Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs +500
- Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens +700
- Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers +800
- Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Miami Dolphins +1100
- Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers +1600
- Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars +2800
- C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans +2800
- Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins +3300
- Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills +3500
Who Are This Season’s NFL MVP Favorites?
Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles (+160)
2023 Season Stats for Jalen Hurts (11 Games)
- Passing: 242 of 358 (67.6%), 2697 yards, 18 TD, 10 INT
- Rushing: 114 attempts, 410 yards (3.6 YPA), 11 TD
Hurts has established himself as the man to beat in the NFL MVP race with his clutch performances over the last several weeks as the Eagles have recorded wins over the Dolphins, Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills.
Against the Bills this past Sunday, Hurts tallied 265 total yards (200 passing, 65 rushing) and five total touchdowns (three passing, two rushing) as he led Philly back from ten down in the fourth in a 37-34 win.
If he can keep this up through the next few weeks, which will see the Eagles take on the 49ers (home), Cowboys (away), and Seahawks (away), his odds will only shorten.
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys (+500)
2023 Season Stats for Dak Prescott (11 Games)
- Passing: 259 of 370 (70.0%), 2935 yards, 23 TD, 6 INT
- Rushing: 34 attempts, 151 yards (4.4 YPA), 2 TD
Few inside or outside of the Cowboys’ fanbase would have pictured Prescott being in this spot after his and Dallas’s disastrous performance at San Francisco in Week 5.
But did he let that performance and the heavy criticism worm their way in? No, Prescott has instead responded with a run that has him firmly in the NFL MVP conversation.
Over his last six games, Prescott has 18 touchdowns and only two interceptions, and he has thrown for 300+ yards four times. In the Cowboys’ Thanksgiving Day rout of Washington, he was 22 of 32 for 331 yards and four scores.
Can Prescott close the gap between himself and Hurts? If he can lead Dallas to a Week 13 win over Seattle and knock off the Eagles a week from Sunday, he could move into an even more promising position.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (+500)
2023 Season Stats for Patrick Mahomes (11 Games)
- Passing: 280 of 411 (68.1%), 2917 yards, 21 TD, 9 INT
- Rushing: 53 attempts, 305 yards (5.8 YPA)
Mahomes and the Chiefs are only 2-2 in their last four games, but he remains a top NFL MVP contender likely for two major reasons.
Kansas City, who is tied for the best record in the AFC and two games up in the AFC West, remains prominently placed in the NFL standings. Also, being Patrick Mahomes, two-time NFL and Super Bowl MVP, understandably affords you a high level of equity that less decorated mortals don’t get.
It also helps that after three unspectacular showings against the Broncos, Dolphins, and Eagles, Mahomes had a more Mahomes-like performance against the Raiders in Week 12. In Kansas City’s 31-17 win, he went 27 of 34 for 298 yards and two touchdowns.
Recent NFL MVP Winners
- 2022: Patrick Mahomes
- 2021: Aaron Rodgers
- 2020: Aaron Rodgers
- 2019: Lamar Jackson
- 2018: Patrick Mahomes
- 2017: Tom Brady
- 2016: Matt Ryan
- 2015: Cam Newton
- 2014: Aaron Rodgers
- 2013: Peyton Manning
- 2012: Adrian Peterson
- 2011: Aaron Rodgers
- 2010: Tom Brady
- 2009: Peyton Manning
- 2008: Peyton Manning
- 2007: Tom Brady
- 2006: LaDainian Tomlinson
- 2005: Shaun Alexander
- 2004: Peyton Manning
- 2003: Peyton Manning & Steve McNair
Where to Bet on the NFL This Season
There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for NFL betting, but here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:
If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.
Eddie Griffin has been writing about and betting on sports for over a decade and has been with Betting News since 2021. For more of his thoughts on sports and sports betting, you can follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter.
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Betting News makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
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