The Women’s Singles Wimbledon Final begins at 9 am EST on Saturday between Serena Williams and Simona Halep. Both ladies have been outstanding on their run to the championship. Serena has only lost two sets all tournament long, and Halep has only lost one while going to a tiebreaker in another.
These two players are some of the best in the world, even if their seeds may not have led you to believe that. Serena is a legend in the sport but is only the 11th seed in the tournament due to her struggles earlier in the year and her pregnancy that kept her out of the action for parts of the last two years. Serena was the Vegas favorite heading into the tournament at +450, so don’t let the 11 seeding trick you.
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) July 11, 2019
Similar things can be said about Halep. The seventh-seeded player in the field was tied for the third-best odds heading into Wimbledon at +800, and she had the second-best odds to win going into the second weekend, trailing only Serena.
This matchup has happened 12 times since 2011 and Serena is 10-2 in the matchups. However, it is good to note that Serena is not what she once was, at least from a consistency level and her play/seeding over the last year or so has proven that, and Halep was a much younger player at the time. The last time they played was on a hard surface at the Australian Open where Serena won in three sets over Halep.
Roads To The Final
Both women’s roads to this point have been very impressive, but I am more focused on Serena’s recent results because we know that she is the better player if she is in top form. Halep is in top form, but we need to determine how close Serena is to that same point.
Serena’s last match against Barbora Strycova is where I got excited about playing Serena in this match. Strycova wasn’t even seeded in this tournament, but she is a very good player that beat great players on the way to this match.
Strycova had beaten five opponents, four of which were seeded, to get to that point, and she had done so while only dropping one set. Strycova looked like a player that truly deserved to get to that spot and did not waltz through an easy part of the bracket.
Serena came out and absolutely dominated Strycova from the first service and never looked back in a victory that saw Strycova only win three games in the entire match after only dropping one set in the previous five matches. This result for Serena leads me to believe that she is confident and ready going into this final, something that hasn’t always been that case recently.
Halep’s semifinal performance was very similar to Serena’s against an opponent that is widely considered to be better than Strycova. I have been really impressed by Halep’s game all tournament, but I am not really going to overreact to her recent results. Halep has shown no sign of injuries or other issues slowing her down, and I expect her to be at the top of her game on Saturday morning.
What To Expect
With her recent results at Wimbledon, I am comfortable in betting on Serena because I think that it is clear that she has gained her swagger back throughout this run once getting off of clay surfaces. If both Halep and Serena are at the top of their games, Serena is better, and I want to back her at -190 all day here.